The Atlanta Falcons (4-4) visit the Dallas Cowboys (6-2) Sunday for a Week 10 matchup. Kickoff from AT&T Stadium will be at 1 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Falcons vs. Cowboys odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.
The Falcons have won three of their last four games to get back in the hunt in the NFC South, most recently beating the New Orleans Saints 27-25 in Week 9. The Falcons are 21st in points scored and 28th in points allowed despite being a .500 team. Three of their wins have come against the New York Giants, New York Jets and Miami Dolphins — all by seven or fewer points.
The Cowboys were embarrassed at home by the Denver Broncos last week, losing 30-16 in QB Dak Prescott‘s return from injury. They gained a season-low 290 yards on offense and turned it over twice for the fourth consecutive game. They still lead the league in yards per game but their defense is just 21st in yards allowed.
Falcons at Cowboys odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:45 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Falcons +300 (bet $100 to win $300) | Cowboys -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Falcons +8.5 (-112) | Cowboys -8.5 (-108)
- Over/Under (O/U): 54.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Falcons at Cowboys key injuries
Falcons
- LB Steven Means (knee) doubtful
- DL Jonathan Bullard (concussion) doubtful
Cowboys
- DE Randy Gregory (calf) out
- LT Tyron Smith (ankle) out
- WR Cedrick Wilson (shoulder) questionable
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Falcons at Cowboys odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Cowboys 27, Falcons 21
Money line
This is a game the Cowboys should win. The Falcons’ only somewhat impressive win came against the Saints, who were starting Trevor Siemien at quarterback. Dallas has been competitive in every game this season with the exception of Sunday’s outlier against Denver.
However, given the chalky money line, I don’t love a bet on the Cowboys (-400) to win outright. Instead, I would PASS and bet on the spread.
Against the spread
The Cowboys failed to cover the spread for the first time last week against the Broncos, and are now 7-1 ATS this season. However, they’re banged up right now, as they continue to be without the services DE DeMarcus Lawrence, just placed Gregory on short-term injured reserve and have ruled out Smith for Week 10.
I like the FALCONS +8.5 (-110) to cover the spread against a short-handed Cowboys side.
Over/Under
The Falcons have been up and down on offense all season. They scored 27 against the Saints last week and 13 against the Carolina Panthers the week prior. They put 6 points on the board against the Philadelphia Eagles in the season opener and 30 against the Washington Football Team in Week 4.
The Cowboys have been much more consistent with the exception of Sunday’s loss to the Broncos, but this is a game that I think goes UNDER 54.5 (-108) because of the high total.
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