The Atlanta Falcons (4-5) visit the Carolina Panthers (2-7) for an 8:15 p.m. ET kickoff in the Week 10 Thursday Night Football game (Prime Video). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Falcons vs. Panthers odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Falcons won a wild 37-34 win in overtime at Mercedes-Benz Stadium against the Panthers in Week 8, but failed to cover as 4.5-point favorites. It was unable to carry over the momentum, losing 20-17 at home to the Los Angeles Chargers last weekend.
Carolina QB PJ Walker hit WR D.J. Moore on a Hail Mary to tie the Falcons 34-34, pending the point after. But Moore took off his helmet in celebration, the Panthers were flagged 15 yards and PK Eddy Pineiro missed the PAT sending the game to OT. Pineiro also missed a game-winning field goal in OT, but the Falcons didn’t.
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Falcons at Panthers odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:39 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Falcons -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Panthers +117 (bet $100 to win $117)
- Against the spread: Falcons -2.5 (-120) | Panthers +2.5 (+100)
- Over/Under (O/U): 42.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Falcons at Panthers key injuries
Falcons
- TE Feleipe Franks (calf) questionable
- FS Erik Harris (foot) questionable
- C Matt Hennessy (knee) questionable
- CB A.J. Terrell (hamstring) questionable
Panthers
- DT Derrick Brown (illness) questionable
- DE Brian Burns (shoulder) questionable
- S Juston Burris (concussion) questionable
- CB C.J. Henderson (finger) questionable
- WR Rashard Higgins (illness) questionable
- RB Chuba Hubbard (ankle) questionable
- DT Matt Ionnidis (back) questionable
- CB Donte Jackson (ankle) questionable
- LB Frankie Luvu (neck) questionable
- WR Laviska Shenault Jr. (illness) questionable
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Falcons at Panthers picks and predictions
Prediction
Falcons 19, Panthers 13
Moneyline
FALCONS (-140) is not a terrible play as moderate favorites, especially since the Panthers (+117) limp in with injuries at some key areas.
Even if the likes of Burns, Jackson and/or Luvu are able to push through injuries to play on defense, Atlanta is still the play.
Against the spread
Play FALCONS -2.5 (-120) is a little on the risky side, simply because the Panthers +2.5 (+100) easily could have won in Atlanta in Week 8.
In addition, RB D’Onta Foreman went over 100 yards with 3 TDs against the Falcons, so that will be an area of focus for the Atlanta defense. It must do better. Carolina has had questions at quarterback all season, and it looked to have temporarily answered those questions with Walker’s solid showing in Atlanta. However, he was brutal in a loss in Cincinnati last week, and Baker Mayfield came on. A quarterback turnstile is not good for consistency, and Atlanta’s situation is much more stable.
Over/Under
UNDER 42.5 (-105) is the play here, and might be the best on the board.
Atlanta and Carolina combined for 71 total points in Week 8, and that’s unlikely to occur outdoors, especially with the potential early effects of Tropical Storm Nicole affecting the entire Southeastern United States.
The forecast for the greater Charlotte area calls for a 100 percent chance of rain for Thursday night, with winds gusting 10-20 mph. That will keep the offenses mostly ground-based, and running runs the clock, which Under bettors love.
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