Atlanta Braves at New York Yankees odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Wednesday’s Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees sports betting odds and lines, with MLB betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Atlanta Braves (11-8) and New York Yankees (11-6) cap off a  two-game set Wednesday at Yankee Stadium with first pitch set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Braves-Yankees MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Braves at Yankees: Projected starting pitchers

RHP Huascar Ynoa vs. RHP Masahiro Tanaka

Ynoa made his first career start Aug. 9 against the Philadelphia Phillies. The 22-year-old Dominican fire-baller went 2 1/3 IP, allowing a run on a hit and a walk. He made two relief appearances in 2019, Wednesday’s game will mark the fourth of his career.

  • Ynoa has swing-and-miss stuff (more than a strikeout per inning at Double-A and Triple-A a year ago), but his work in this one figures to be of one-time-through-the order variety.

Tanaka is coming off a fine start at the Tampa Bay Rays (5 IP, 0 runs, 5 strikeouts), and his velocity has been impressive thus far. Injured (concussion) at the outset of the season, the Yankee right-hander has clocked a 1.17 ERA through two starts.

  • Tanaka has a 3.13 ERA over his last nine starts at Yankee Stadium.
  • Because of his head injury — one sustained in Summer Camp — Tanaka has been on a short leash. He threw 51 pitches in his regular-season debut and 59 in his second start.

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Braves at Yankees: Key injuries

(Get the latest injury news here.)

Braves

  • 1B Matt Adams (hamstring) out
  • 2B Ozzie Albies (wrist) out
  • RP Chris Martin (throat) out
  • RP Jeremy Walker (shoulder) out
  • RP Jacob Webb (shoulder) out

Yankees

  • RP Aroldis Chapman (COVID-19 recovery) out
  • RP Tommy Kahnle (Tommy John surgery) out
  • OF Giancarlo Stanton (hamstring) out

Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

Braves at Yankees: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:20 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML)

The prices on both sides of the moneyline (Yankees -189/Braves +170) are in the no-fly zone. PASS.

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The lean here is only a small-confidence one, and it’s on the BRAVES +1.5 (-110).

Over/Under (O/U)

Run-scoring analytics point to a) Both of these teams being significantly out too far over their skis, and b) Both pitching staffs being a bit undersold by their current surface numbers. Both clubs have lofty BABIPs in high-leverage situations; the Braves have a .346 BABIP when batting with runners in scoring position.

Add in a few injuries to key bats and some recent (albeit short-term) slumps, and there is some value to be had on going low. The risk/reward of pegging Tanaka and relievers to go low leans to the reward side. BACK THE UNDER 9.5 (-110).

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