The Los Angeles Dodgers (28-10) eye a three-game sweep of the Arizona Diamondbacks (14-23) at Dodger Stadium Thursday at 9:40 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Diamondbacks-Dodgers MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Wednesday: The Dodgers won 3-2 in the 10th inning on C Will Smith‘s walkoff, RBI single. LA spoiled a fantastic start by Arizona SP Zac Gallen, who tossed one-hit ball over 7-plus scoreless innings. Dodgers RF Mookie Betts‘ solo homer with one out in the ninth tied it at 1-1.
Diamondbacks at Dodgers: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Luke Weaver vs. LHP Clayton Kershaw
Weaver is 1-5 with an 8.23 ERA (27 1/3 IP, 25 ER) in 7 starts this season.
- Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 6 K vs. San Francisco Giants Saturday – Diamondbacks lost 5-2
- 2020 vs. Dodgers: 0-1, 1 start, 4 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 5 K, 2 HR in 11-2 loss Aug. 1
- Career vs. Dodgers: 1-1, 9.69 ERA (13 IP, 14 ER) in 4 games, including 2 starts
Kershaw is 4-1 with a 1.80 ERA (30 IP, 6 ER) and 33 K in 5 starts.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 4 K at San Francisco Giants Aug. 27 – Dodgers won 7-0
- 2020 vs. Diamondbacks: 1-0, 1 start, 5 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 3-0 road win Aug. 2
- Career vs. Diamondbacks: 17-10, 2.77 ERA (211 1/3 IP, 65 ER) in 34 starts – last meeting a no-decision in 2019
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Diamondbacks at Dodgers: Key injuries
(Get the latest injury news here.)
Diamondbacks
- RP Taylor Widener (ribs) out
Dodgers
- OF Cody Bellinger (back) questionable
- RP Joe Kelly (shoulder) out
- 3B Justin Turner (hamstring) out
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Diamondbacks at Dodgers: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Dodgers 5, Diamondbacks 1
Moneyline (ML)
The Dodgers (-294) are rolling. They’ve won four in a row, 9 of 11 and 17 of 20. Plus, they’ve won their last nine at home. Toss in that Kershaw is on the hill and it’s surprising they’re not bigger favorites.
I can’t justify suggesting to bet that kind of chalk. One has to wager almost three times the potential return to win on the Dodgers ML. PASS and focus on the run line.
New to sports betting? Every $2.94 bet on the Dodgers ML will profit only $1 if they win. (Ex: Bet $29.40 to win $10, $294 to win $100, $2,940 to win $1,000).
A winning $1 bet on the Diamondbacks (+260) will profit $2.60.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The DODGERS’ -1.5 (-149) alternate line is the STRONGEST PLAY. All four of Kershaw’s wins this season have been by at least 3 runs, including the 3-0 victory vs. the Diamondbacks Aug. 2.
Meanwhile, Arizona +2.5 (-128) has lost four in a row and 12 of 13.
Over/Under (O/U)
The UNDER 8.5 (-110) is worth a small-unit play. Kershaw will take care of the Arizona side, but there’s no telling how many runs Los Angeles’ offense will score. The Dodgers’ 5.61 runs per game ranks behind only the San Diego Padres’ 5.84. (Small-play wagers should be half your usual bet.)
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| Johnny’s 2020 MLB record | 42-21-1 |
| 2020 overall record (all sports) | 82-49-2 |
| Strongest plays (all sports) | 42-18 |
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