The Arizona Diamondbacks (34-42) open a 3-game weekend road series Friday against the Colorado Rockies (33-43). First pitch for the opener is 8:10 p.m. ET at Coors Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Arizona leads the season series 2-1.
The Diamondbacks are coming off a 4-0 loss to the San Diego Padres to give them a 2-game series split. They have only 2 wins in their last 8 games.
The Rockies took 2 of 3 games at home against the Dodgers, but are 3-6 in their last 9 games.
Diamondbacks at Rockies projected starters
RHP Merrill Kelly vs. RHP Antonio Senzatela
Kelly (6-5, 3.64 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 84 IP.
- Beat Rockies 4-1 May 6 with 8 2/3 IP, 1 R, 7 H, 2 BB and 8 K.
- Two starts ago he pitched 7 innings of 1-run ball, but he has a 4.74 ERA in his last 3 starts.
Senzatela (3-4, 4.66 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.78 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 5.1 K/9 in 58 IP.
- Has alternated allowing 3 or more runs and 1 or no runs in each of his last 7 starts and is coming off a start in which he allowed 4 runs in 5 innings.
- He is 3-1 with a 3.52 ERA at home this season.
Diamondbacks at Rockies odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:21 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Diamondbacks +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Rockies -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks 1.5 (+145) | Rockies +1.5 (-180)
- Over/Under (O/U): 11.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)
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Diamondbacks at Rockies picks and predictions
Prediction
Rockies 6, Diamondbacks 3
Money line
The Rockies have found their mojo at home again, having won 5 of their last 6 at Coors Field. The Diamondbacks are 15-20 on the road and have dropped 9 of their last 11 games away from home.
Kelly has not been as sharp as he was in the first 2 months of the season and Senzatela is a much better pitcher at home than on the road.
Take the ROCKIES (-120).
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Run line/Against the spread
PASS on the run line, as the Rockies are favored on the money line and underdogs on the run line.
At -180 odds for the Rockies to cover, it makes much more sense to bet them on the money line to win outright.
Over/Under
When the Diamondbacks lose, it is because they do not score 5 runs. Of their 42 losses, they have reached 5 runs only 6 times, so it would take a lot of runs by the Rockies to get the total to 12 or more.
The Rockies’ last game hit 12 runs but none of the previous 7 did and only 3 of their last 13 games have.
Six of Arizona’s last 8 losses have had 11 or fewer runs.
Take UNDER 11.5 (-105).
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