The Arizona Diamondbacks (18-27) head to Coors Field Friday to start a three-game set with the host Colorado Rockies (15-29) at 8:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Arizona has lost five straight, eight of nine and hasn’t won a series since beating Colorado 3-1 April 29-May 1. The D-Backs are just 5-15 in their last 20 games.
Colorado has also dropped five straight, haven’t won a series since taking two of three vs. the San Francisco Giants May 4-5 and is just 6-14 in the last 20.
Season series: D-Backs 4-3.
RHP Seth Frankoff is on the hill for the Diamondbacks. Frankoff picked up a no-decision in his first big league start Saturday against the Washington Nationals. He pitched 4 2/3 IP with 2 ER, 3 H, 4 BB and 4 K in Arizona’s 11-4 win vs. the Nationals.
RHP German Márquez is the projected starter for the Rockies. Márquez is 2-4 with a 5.56 ERA (45 1/3 IP, 28 ER), 1.68 WHIP, 5.4 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 over nine starts.
- Last outing: Win, 9-6, in 6 IP with 4 ER, 8 H, 3 BB and 8 K last Friday vs. the Cincinnati Reds.
- Career vs. the D-Backs: 4-5 with a 4.26 ERA (99 1/3 IP, 47 ER), 1.34 WHIP and 9.6 K/9 across 17 starts and one bullpen outing.
- Vs. D-Backs on the current roster: 174 at-bats with a .333/.378/.592 slash line, 44/12 K/BB, 9 HR and 32 RBIs.
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Diamondbacks at Rockies odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:30 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Diamondbacks +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Rockies -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Diamondbacks +1.5 (-140) | Rockies -1.5 (+115)
- Over/Under: 11 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Prediction
Rockies, 8, Diamondbacks 5
Money line (ML)
Slight “LEAN” to the ROCKIES (-150) for a quarter unit because the major takeaway from Frankoff’s profile is the fact that he’s a 32-year-old making his second start in the Majors and the presumed “sharp” money is on Colorado.
It’s tough to project Frankoff’s outing Friday given the little Major League. data we have on him, and for what it’s worth, Márquez is one of Colorado’s “top of the rotation” guys.
Furthermore, more money has been wagered on the Rockies while more actual bets have been placed on the D-Backs, according to Pregame.com.
Typically, it’s more profitable in sports gambling to follow the money, especially when it’s flowing in the opposite direction of the crowd.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS because Colorado has an 8-15 run line record as a home favorite since the beginning of last season and the Rockies -1.5 (+115) is too measly of a payout in the face of that trend.
My “lean” towards Colorado has mostly to do with Márquez having decent stuff and not knowing what we’ll see from Frankoff.
But, both lineups and bullpens are equally as bad. Colorado’s run line should have at least a +130 payout, in my opinion.
Over/Under (O/U)
“LEAN” to the OVER 11 (-115) for a half unit since we are getting the worst of the number as the market has barreled into the Over, steaming it up from the 10.5-run opener.
However, this is still the launching pad of Coors Field, both bullpens get nuked on a regular occasion, the Rockies have a 6-3 O/U record in Márquez starts and the Over has cashed in seven of the past 10 Rockies-Diamondbacks meetings.
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