The Arizona Diamondbacks (2-3) and Colorado Rockies (1-4) meet up Wednesday at 8:40 p.m. ET at Coors Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Madison Bumgarner is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. In 2020, he went 1-4 with a 6.48 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, 6.5 K/9 and 2.8 BB/9 in 41 2/3 IP over nine starts. Bumgarner’s first start this season didn’t go well, as he surrendered 6 ER in 4 IP; however, it was encouraging that his velocity was back up a couple of ticks, though not quite to pre-2020 levels.
He also induced 14 swinging strikes, four more than he recorded in any start last season.
RHP Antonio Senzatela is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies. Last season, he went 5-3 with a 3.44 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 5.0 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9 in 73 1/3 IP over 12 starts. The shaky skills certainly didn’t support the stellar ERA, and Senzatela’s 2021 campaign got off to a rough start when he allowed 7 ER in 3 1/3 IP against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
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Diamondbacks at Rockies odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Diamondbacks -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Rockies -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Diamondbacks -1.5 (+135) | Rockies +1.5 (-160)
- Over/Under: 11 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Prediction
Diamondbacks 8, Rockies 6
Money line (ML)
Since beating the Dodgers on Opening Day, the Rockies have dropped four straight games, including an extra-innings loss to Arizona Tuesday. They will turn to Senzatela to halt the skid, but don’t be fooled by his 2020 ERA. Dating back to last September, the 26-year-old is sporting an ugly 12/12 K/BB in 28 IP across his last five starts.
Bumgarner isn’t a great bet to shut down the Rockies, either, especially in Colorado, where he owns a 4.56 career ERA. The velocity rebound offers some reason for optimism, and the Rockies had the second worst K% vs LHP in 2020, along with the sixth worst wRC+. Take the DIAMONDBACKS (-110).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Going back to August of 2020, 17 of the last 18 games at Coors Field have been decided by more than one run. This game sets up as another high-scoring contest that probably won’t end up a one-run game.
The DIAMONDBACKS -1.5 (+135) is the recommendation here, and if looking for other options, Diamondbacks -2.5 (+185) or Rockies -1.5 (+155) also have some appeal.
Over/Under (O/U)
The Over has hit in three of five games at Coors Field so far this season.
It’s hard to trust either of these marginal starting pitchers in such a tough environment and both offenses should put up their fair share of runs, so go with the OVER 11 (-120).
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