The Arizona Diamondbacks (1-3) kick off a three-game series on the road against the Colorado Rockies (1-3) Tuesday at 8:40 p.m. ET at Coors Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Luke Weaver is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is coming off a 2020 campaign in which he went 1-9 with a 6.58 ERA, 1.56 WHIP, 9.5 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 in 52 IP over 12 starts. Weaver allowed 10 home runs last season (1.7 HR/9) and really struggled during Spring Training, with eight bombs surrendered in just 14 2/3 innings.
RHP German Marquez is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies. In 2020, he went 4-6 with a 3.75 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 and 2.8 BB/9 in a league-high 81 2/3 IP over 13 starts. Marquez struggled with his control this spring, with 8 walks and 2 HBP in 19 IP.
Those problems were magnified in his season debut last week when he allowed just one run in four innings of work, but he was constantly working out of jams as he allowed 6 hits and dished out 6 free passes.
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Diamondbacks at Rockies odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:55 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Diamondbacks -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Rockies -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Diamondbacks -1.5 (+150) | Rockies +1.5 (-185)
- Over/Under: 10.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Rockies 7, Diamondbacks 5
Money line (ML)
Neither starting pitcher inspires a great deal of confidence with their recent performance. This is especially true considering the game is at Coors Field, where Marquez owns a 5.06 career ERA, and Weaver a 7.62 mark, albeit in just four appearances totaling 13 IP.
Given Weaver’s susceptibility to the long ball and the fact Arizona was 9-21 in road games in 2020, we’ll side with the home team here. Take the ROCKIES (-115).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
In what sets up as a high-scoring affair, betting on a team to win by multiple runs certainly has some appeal.
The alternate lines are pretty even, with the Rockies checking in at -1.5 (+155), while the Diamondbacks are -1.5 (+150). Both make sense, but a slight lean to the ROCKIES -1.5 (+155), who stand a pretty good chance of clearing the fence a couple of times against Weaver and a shaky Arizona pen.
Over/Under (O/U)
There could be some offensive fireworks in this one. While we’re still looking at small samples and performance in exhibition games, neither starting pitcher looks to be at the top of their game right now, and this contest will take place in the most hitter-friendly park in the league.
The OVER 10.5 (-110) is the side to take on this total.
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