The Arizona Diamondbacks (26-31) and Cincinnati Reds (20-35) continue a 4-game set Wednesday with a 6:40 p.m. ET first pitch at Great American Ball Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Cincinnati leads 2-0.
The Diamondbacks lost Monday’s series opener 7-0 and were down 9-0 going into the eighth inning of game 2. They have lost 4 straight games and are just 3-9 across their last 12.
Cincinnati clubbed 4 doubles and 5 home runs Tuesday. The Reds posted a .526 OPS over their first 15 games; they’ve logged a .752 OPS in 40 games since.
Diamondbacks at Reds projected starters
RHP Merrill Kelly vs. LHP Mike Minor
Kelly (4-3, 3.66 ERA) owns a 1.39 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 59 IP through 11 starts.
- Making his 4th start on the road since May 17. Owns a 4.79 road ERA since 2020 (vs. a 3.32 mark at home).
Minor (0-1, 11.25 ERA) makes his 2nd start of the season. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 0.0 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 4 IP.
- Posted a 5.05 ERA in 158 2/3 IP last season.
- Made his first start Friday after suffering a shoulder injury in spring training; recorded 5 ER on 6 H and 3 HR across 4 IP versus the Washington Nationals.
- Made 5 rehab starts and posted a 6.11 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 17 2/3 Minor League innings.
Diamondbacks at Reds odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:47 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Diamondbacks -103 (bet $103 to win $100) | Reds -117 (bet $117 to win $100)
- Run line (RL): Diamondbacks -1.5 (+145) | Reds +1.5 (-180)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)
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Diamondbacks at Reds picks and predictions
Prediction
Reds 5, Diamondbacks 4
Money line
Cincinnati is a respectable 16-12 with a .780 OPS since May 8. Eleven of those wins have been by multiple runs.
Peg the bullpens as being an outright but under-the-radar Cincy advantage, and the Reds relief corps is well-rested heading into this one. Kelly doesn’t typically go deep into starts, and this game could be ticketed for a rain delay or two. Whatever gets this contest into the bullpens plays as betting leverage for the home nine.
BACK CINCINNATI (-117).
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Run line/Against the spread
Bettors wanting a cushion for having Minor at the outset may want to consider the REDS +1.5 (-180). However, figure the juice eroding most of the value here.
Over/Under
Crisscrossing scoring and run-prevention numbers on both sides make for a PASS.
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