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The Anaheim Ducks (10-12-4) and Ottawa Senators (12-13-2) are lined up for a Wednesday clash north of the border. Puck drop at the Canadian Tire Centre will be at 7:30 p.m. (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Ducks vs. Senators odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
Season series: Ducks lead 1-0
The Ducks claimed a 4-3 shootout victory as +140 underdogs Dec. 1 with the Over (6) cashing. Anaheim RW Troy Terry had 3 assists and scored the go-ahead goal in the second round of the shootout, while RW Frank Vatrano knocked in 2 goals.
Anaheim is continuing a 4-game road swing that opened Monday with a 3-2 shootout loss as +132 underdogs at the Montreal Canadiens with the Under (6) hitting. The Ducks outshot Montreal 29-21 but lost their third straight game (0-2-1). Anaheim is just 2-4-2 over its last 8 contests.
Ottawa is closing out a 4-game homestand. Game 3 of that stretch saw the Senators drop a 4-2 decision as -120 favorites to the New York Islanders Sunday with the O/U line (6) pushing. The Sens lost despite allowing a season-low 13 shots and scoring the first goal of the game — by C Adam Gaudette 5:37 into the contest. The Isles responded with 2 first-period goals and, after Sens C Josh Norris tied it with a power-play goal in the second, scored twice in the third — the go-ahead score with 6:14 to go and an empty-netter with 51 seconds left.
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Ducks at Senators odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NHL odds. Lines last updated Tuesday at 8:53 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Ducks +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Senators -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Ducks +1.5 (-120) | Senators -1.5 (+100)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Ducks at Senators projected goalies
Lukas Dostal (6-7-3, 2.67 GAA, .921 SV%, 1 SO) vs. Linus Ullmark (7-7-2, 2.81 GAA, .898 SV%, 1 SO)
Dostal has just 2 wins in his last 9 starts — his last win (3-1) was Oct. 29 at the Islanders. The 24-year-old does, however, own a .916 SV% over his last 5 games and a robust .949 SV% in 7 road games. His last start was the Monday shootout loss at Montreal despite stopping 19 of 21 shots.
Ullmark last played on Saturday when he walled off 37 of 38 attempts from the Nashville Predators in a 3-1 victory. He has allowed just 2 goals over his last 2 starts and has logged a .939 SV% over his last 4. He is 4-3-1 with a 2.63 GAA and a .905 SV% in 8 home games this season.
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Ducks at Senators picks and predictions
Prediction
Senators 5, Ducks 3
Moneyline
Lots of juice drowning out any value here. PASS.
Puck line/Against the spread
Anaheim’s 5-on-5 expected-goal numbers put the Ducks in a fade watch. They’ve yielded just too many scoring chances overall and too many of the high-danger variety. Plus, the club has managed a mere 15.8% success rate on the power play since Nov. 18.
Ottawa is 3-1-0 over its last 4 home games. The Sens have been developing more scoring chances lately, but a relatively low shooting percentage has suppressed the team’s offensive numbers.
The Senators have scored just 2.70 goals per game over their last 10, so there is some risk in getting Ottawa over the top with some cushion here. But the risk makes the SENATORS -1.5 (+100) a play with some leverage.
Over/Under
Anaheim has averaged 2.42 goals per game (GPG), while allowing 3.00 GPG. Expected-goal analytics are bullish on the Ducks logging higher averages on both fronts.
Both clubs rank as bottom-10 in penalty killing. OVER 6 (-120) is the value side here.
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