All 32 NFL teams (including the Cowboys) ranked by FPI ratings

Going into Week 9, the Cowboys have a -1.0 Football Power Index (FPI) rating from ESPN, which ranks in the bottom 10 of the NFL.

The 2024 NFL season has reached what used to be the halfway point, as Week 9 has arrived. Eight games into the year, the Dallas Cowboys (3-4) have a -1.0 Football Power Index (FPI) rating from ESPN, which ranks 23rd in the league.

The Atlanta Falcons (5-3), who will host Dallas on Sunday, are ranked 15th with a 0.6 FPI rating.

FPI is “a prediction system for the NFL. Each team’s FPI rating is composed of a predicted offensive, defensive and special teams efficiency, as measured by expected points added per play, and that rating is the basis for FPI’s game-level and season-level projections,” according to ESPN.com. FPI “represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule.”

Here’s a look at the ratings heading into the weekend action.

  1. Detroit Lions (6-1): 7.6
  2. Baltimore Ravens (3-2): 6.2
  3. Buffalo Bills (6-2): 6.2
  4. Kansas City Chiefs (7-0): 6.1
  5. Philadelphia Eagles (5-2): 4.0
  6. San Francisco 49ers (4-4): 3.8
  7. Green Bay Packers (6-2): 2.4
  8. Washington Commanders (6-2): 2.2
  9. Indianapolis Colts (4-4): 2.0
  10. Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2): 1.8
  11. Minnesota Vikings (5-2): 1.8
  12. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-4): 1.8
  13. Houston Texans (6-2): 1.8
  14. Chicago Bears (4-3): 1.0
  15. Atlanta Falcons (5-3): 0.6
  16. New York Jets (2-6): 0.5
  17. Cleveland Browns (2-6): 0.3
  18. Los Angeles Rams (3-4): -0.0
  19. Cincinnati Bengals (3-5): -0.0
  20. Los Angeles Chargers (4-3): -0.1
  21. Arizona Cardinals (4-4): -0.3
  22. New Orleans Saints (2-6): -0.7
  23. Dallas Cowboys (3-4): -1.0
  24. Seattle Seahawks (4-4): -1.4
  25. Miami Dolphins (2-5): -1.8
  26. Jacksonville Jaguars (2-6): -1.9
  27. Denver Broncos (5-3): -2.5
  28. Las Vegas Raiders (2-6): -4.5
  29. New York Giants (2-6): -4.8
  30. Tennesee Titans (1-6): -5.0
  31. New England Patriots (2-6): -7.4
  32. Carolina Panthers (1-7): -10.3

The records say there’s a reasonable gap between the Cowboys and Falcons. FPI says otherwise.