ALDS Game 2: Cleveland Guardians at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Cleveland Guardians at New York Yankees Game 2 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Guardians and the New York Yankees return to action Friday – after Thursday’s rainout – for Game 2 of their best-of-5 AL Division Series. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 1:07 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Series: Yankees lead 1-0; won regular-season series 5-1

Thursday’s projected starting pitchers – Cleveland RHP Shane Bieber and New York LHP Nestor Cortes Jr. – will now start Friday.

With the pitching matchup staying the same, SportsbookWire handicapper Kevin Erickson is sticking with his suggested plays. Below is a reproduction of his original article but with updated lines.

By Kevin Erickson
Published Thursday, 8:35 a.m. ET

The Guardians scored 1st in Tuesday’s Game 1, taking a 1-0 lead in the top of the 3rd, but the Yankees tied it in the bottom of the inning and added 3 more runs in the 5th and 6th inning to post a 4-1 win.

Cleveland has now dropped 7 straight games in the ALDS round, while going 0-5 in the last 5 divisional playoff games on the road. It is also 0-6 in the last 6 playoff road games overall.

New York has been just the opposite, winning 4 of the last 5 in the ALDS round at home, while going 55-21 in the last 76 games overall at Yankee Stadium.

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Guardians at Yankees projected starters

RHP Shane Bieber vs. LHP Nestor Cortes Jr.

Bieber allowed 1 ER, 3 H and 1 BB with 8 K in 7 2/3 IP in a win over the Tampa Bay Rays Friday, Oct. 7 in the Wild Card round.

  • Is 8-3 with a 2.65 ERA with 121 K and a .235 opponent batting average in 119 IP in 18 road outings
  • Hasn’t faced the Yankees since April 21, 2021, allowing 2 ER, 4 H and 3 BB with 9 K in 7 IP in a loss in Cleveland

Cortes (12-4, 2.44 ERA) made 28 regular-season starts. He had a 0.92 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 158 1/3 IP.

  • Was 6-1 with a sparkling 1.95 ERA and .161 opponent BA with 89 K and just 5 HR allowed in 87 2/3 IP in 15 home starts
  • Went 1-0 with a 2.19 ERA with 14 K, 2 BB and just 4 H allowed across 12 1/3 IP in 2 starts vs. Cleveland in the regular season

Guardians at Yankees odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday, 7:25 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Guardians +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Yankees -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-200) | Yankees -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -101 | U: -120)

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Guardians at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 3, Guardians 1

Moneyline

The YANKEES (-150) are a strong play at home. New York has been money at home in the postseason, while the Guardians have shown an inability in recent seasons to get it done on the road.

This will be a well-pitched game as Bieber will have Cleveland it in until the late innings. But Cortes has been amazing at home and he pitched well against the Guardians in the regular season, too.

Run line/Against the spread

NEW YORK -1.5 (+150) is worth playing for a HALF UNIT at least, although you might have to sweat it out until the later innings. New York won Game 1 by a 4-1 count, and didn’t secure the cover until the 6th inning. Expect a similar outcome here.

Over/Under

UNDER 6.5 (-120) is the BEST PLAY on the board. Bieber and Cortes will post plenty of donuts early on, and the runs will be at a premium in Game 2.

The Under is 9-3 in the last 12 playoff road games for the Guardians, while going 5-1 in the last 6 games overall for the Yankees, and 4-1 in the previous 5 games at home.

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