GameAbove Sports Bowl: Pitt vs. Toledo

Analyzing Thursday’s Pitt vs. Toledo odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pitt Panthers (7-5) clash with the Toledo Rockets (7-5) Thursday in the GameAbove Sports Bowl. Kickoff from Ford Field in Detroit is at 2 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Pittsburgh vs. Toledo odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

After starting the season 7-0, Pitt finds itself on a 5-game losing streak after a 34-23 loss to the Boston College Eagles on Nov. 30 as a 3.5-point road underdog. QB Nate Yarnell went 23 of 42 for 296 yards with 3 TD and an INT in the loss. He has since transferred to the Texas Longhorns and QB Eli Holstein will make the start,

Toledo has dropped  2 straight after losing 21-14 i overtime against the Akron Zips on Nov. 26 as a 9.5-point road favorite. QB Tucker Gleason went 31 of 44 for 289 yards and TDs in the loss.

– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

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Pitt vs. Toledo odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Wednesday at 3:27 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pitt -275 (bet $275 to win $100) | Toledo +220 (bet $100 to win $220)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Pitt -7 (-110) | Toledo +7 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 50.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Pitt vs. Toledo picks and predictions

Prediction

Pitt 23, Toledo 20

Moneyline

PASS.

There is minimal value on a more powerful Pitt (-275) team to win on Thursday.

Toledo at +200 could be a sneaky play against a Panthers team that has lost each of its last five.

Against the spread

BET TOLEDO +7 (-110).

Although Pitt is a higher performing team, with more recruiting ability than Toledo, it is on a 5-game losing streak with its offense scoring 20 or less points in 3 of its final 4 games of the season.

Toledo has only played as an underdog twice this season and not only covered in both, but won outright, including an impressive 41-17 win over Mississippi State on the road.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 50.5 (-115).

Pitt has hit the Under in 3 of its last 4 games while scoring 23 or fewer points in each of its last 4 games. Toledo has hit the Under in back-to-back games and has scored just 21 points total in that span.

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