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The Golden State Warriors (14-10) welcome the Dallas Mavericks (16-9) to Chase Center Sunday. Tip-off is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Mavericks vs. Warriors odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Warriors lead 1-0
The Warriors lost to the Houston Rockets 91-90 Wednesday, closing as 3-point road underdogs. They were led by F Jonathan Kuminga, who scored 20 points on just 8-for-20 shooting. Golden State is just 2-7 over its last 9 yet has gone 4-4-1 against the spread (ATS). It is 14-9-1 ATS on the season.
After a rougher-than-expected start to the season, the Mavericks have won 11 of their last 13 and are coming off a 118-104 loss at the Oklahoma City Thunder Tuesday, failing to cover as 4-point underdogs. Tuesday’s loss snapped a 7-game win streak for Dallas, which has gone 6-2 ATS in its last 8 and 14-10-1 ATS this season.
Mavericks at Warriors odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 11:59 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mavericks -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Warriors +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Against the spread: Mavericks -3.5 (-105) | Warriors +3.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 229.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Mavericks at Warriors key injuries
Mavericks
- G Dante Exum (wrist) out
Warriors
- G Stephen Curry (cervical) questionable
- G Moses Moody (knee) out
- F Andrew Wiggins (adductor) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Mavericks at Warriors picks and predictions
Prediction
Warriors 117, Mavericks 115
Moneyline
PASS.
While the predicted outcome suggests the Warriors moneyline is a smart play, the better value is on the home side’s spread, especially with 3 of their last 7 games ending within 4 points.
Against the spread
BET WARRIORS +3.5 (-115).
The Warriors have covered 4 of their last 5 games yet have gone just 2-3 straight up. They have gone 6-4-1 ATS at home this season. Golden State has a strong defense as well, holding opponents to 107 or fewer points in 4 straight games.
While the Mavericks have been surging, they cooled off against a quality opponent in Oklahoma City Tuesday. Dallas’ recent success hasn’t been against many top-tier sides, and it lost to Golden State earlier in the season despite shooting over 50% from the field.
Take WARRIORS +3.5 (-115).
Over/Under
BET OVER 229.5 (-115).
Both teams like to play at a fast tempo, and a faster pace should mean more points. The Warriors rank 9th and the Mavericks are 6th in pace. Golden State is 11-13 O/U on the season and 4-4 O/U in its last 8 at home.
The Mavericks, who have allowed at least 116 points in 4 of their last 5 games, have gone Over in 3 of their last 5 and are 13-11-1 O/U on the season. Dallas is 7-3 O/U in its last 10.
Take OVER 229.5 (-115).
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