Fourteen weeks into the regular season, the Houston Texans (8-5) remain a favorite in the AFC South. Sitting three games above .500, they have a 1.2 Football Power Index (FPI) rating from ESPN, which ranks 12th in the NFL.
The Miami Dolphins (5-7), who will face the Texans in Week 15 at NRG Stadium, are ranked 17th with a -0.0 FPI rating.
FPI is “a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season,” according to ESPN.com. “FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule.”
So with that background in mind, here’s a look at how the league’s 32 teams stack up based on FPI going into Week 14 of the 2024 NFL season.
- Detroit Lions (11-1): 8.6
- Buffalo Bills (10-2): 6.7
- Baltimore Ravens (8-5): 6.3
- Green Bay Packers (9-3): 6.0
- Philadelphia Eagles (10-2): 5.0
- Kansas City Chiefs (11-1): 3.9
- Minnesota Vikings (10-2): 2.7
- San Francisco 49ers (5-7): 2.2
- Pittsburgh Steelers (9-3): 1.7
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-6): 1.6
- Washington Commanders (8-5): 1.3
- Houston Texans (8-5): 1.2
- Arizona Cardinals (6-6): 1.1
- Los Angeles Chargers (8-4): 0.8
- Cincinnati Bengals (4-8): 0.3
- Los Angeles Rams (6-6): 0.2
- Miami Dolphins (5-7): -0.0
- Atlanta Falcons (6-6): -0.4
- Cleveland Browns (3-9): -0.7
- New York Jets (3-9): -0.8
- Seattle Seahawks (7-5): -0.8
- Chicago Bears (4-8): -0.8
- New Orleans Saints (4-8): -1.0
- Denver Broncos (8-5): -1.1
- Indianapolis Colts (6-7): -2.6
- Jacksonville Jaguars (2-10): -3.0
- Las Vegas Raiders (2-10): -4.6
- Tennesee Titans (3-9): -4.6
- New England Patriots (3-10): -6.9
- Dallas Cowboys (5-7): -7.6
- New York Giants (2-10): -8.7
- Carolina Panthers (3-9): -10.0
The Houston, which moved up one spot following its 23-20 win over the Jacksonville Jaguars, will aim to improve its rating after the bye when it hosts Miami on Dec. 15.