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Week 12 was not that great for the underdogs, although there were notable wins. Four underdogs out of 13 games won their game outright and 5 covered the spread.
The Cleveland Browns won outright 24-19 as 3.5-point home underdogs against the Pittsburgh Steelers, the Carolina Panthers covered as 10.5-point home underdogs in a 30-27 loss to Kansas City, the Tennessee Titans stunned the Houston Texans 32-27 as 8-point road underdogs, the Dallas Cowboys won as 10.5-point dogs 34-26 at the Washington Commanders and the Seattle Seahawks prevailed as 1-point home dogs vs. the Arizona Cardinals 16-6.
However, the 3 picks we made all missed. The Indianapolis Colts, Las Vegas Raiders and New England Patriots all failed to cover their respective spreads in losses, dropping our record to 19-16-1.
Let’s do better in Week 13.
Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds, and tab the best NFL Week 13 underdog bets to cash in on among SportsbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.
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NFL underdog predictions: Week 13
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:14 a.m. ET. All games ET.
DOLPHINS +3 (-115) at Packers – Thursday 8:20 p.m. (NBC)
The Dolphins are 3-2 since the return of QB Tua Tagovailoa and have averaged 29 points per game. They have won 3 straight games and scored 34 points in 2 straight games. Defensively, they have not allowed opponents to score more than 19 in their win streak.
The Packers barely beat a struggling Chicago Bears team 2 weeks ago, but and blew out a shorthanded San Francisco 49ers team 38-10 Sunday. In the 3 games before that, they allowed 24.3 points per game.
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RAIDERS +12 (-110) at Chiefs – Friday 3 p.m. (Amazon Prime Video)
QB Aidan O’Connell appears set to return for the Raiders, who covered the 8.5-point in a 7-point loss to the Chiefs on Oct. 27. The Chiefs have been kings of the 1-score games. Their last 4 wins and 8 of their 10 this season have been by no more than 8 points.
Can the Chiefs blow out the Raiders? Absolutely, but they have been allowing almost everyone to stay with them before making winning plays late in the game.
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FALCONS (+110) at Chargers – Sunday, 1 p.m. (CBS)
The Chargers have given up 27+ points in their last 2 games.
The Falcons are coming off their bye and have had time to prepare for the game. They lost 2 in a row before the bye, but before that had scored 26 or more in 5 of 6 games.
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