[gambcom-standard rankid=”4141″ ]
In a 5-round bantamweight bout in the main event, Petr Yan and Deiveson Figueiredo battle at UFC Fight Night 248 Saturday at Galaxy Arena in Cotai, Macau. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s UFC odds around the UFC Fight Night 248: Yan vs. Figueiredo odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The prelims begin at 3 a.m. ET, with the main card beginning at 6 a.m. ET. All events can be viewed or streamed on ESPN+.
Records: Yan (17-5-0) | Figueiredo (24-3-1)
Yan, a former champ, is looking to work his way back to the top of the division. He lost his strap to Aljamain Sterling at UFC 273 in a split-decision setback April 9, 2022.
Yan also lost via split decision to Sean O’Malley at UFC 280, before a unanimous-decision loss to Merab Dvalishvili in March 2023. He finally stemmed the tide of losing with a unanimous-decision victory over Song Yadong at UFC 299. You’re probably noticing a pattern, as that’s 5 straight fights to go the distance.
Figueiredo, also a former champ, has posted 3 straight wins over quality opponents since losing his belt to Brandon Moreno at UFC 283 in the fourth fight of their rivalry. Figueiredo topped Rob Font via unanimous decision, he submitted Cody Garbrandt in Round 2 at UFC 300, and he won via unanimous decision against Marlon Vera in Aug. 2024.
Figueiredo holds a slight 1-inch reach advantage, while Yan has a solid 5.14-to-3.01 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. The difference is negligible in significant strikes accuracy percentage, with Figueiredo holding an advantage by less than 1%.
The same holds true in takedown average, with Yan leading 1.73 to 1.68, although he is much more effective at 51.02% in takedown accuracy percentage, to just 35.94% for the Brazilian. When Figueiredo gets you on the canvas, though, he is much more effective with a 1.60 submission average, to just 0.14 for Yan.
Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.
UFC Fight Night 248: Yan vs. Figueiredo odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list UFC odds. Lines last updated Friday at 10:10 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Yan -310 (bet $310 to win $100) | Figueiredo +250 (bet $100 to win $250)
- Total rounds: 4.5 Rounds (Over -174 | Under +138)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -172 | No +132)
[gambcom-standard rankid=”4132″ ]
UFC Fight Night 248: Yan vs. Figueiredo picks and predictions
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
Call me crazy, but FIGUEIREDO (+250) looks like a live ‘dog at this price. He will help you more than double up, and really, he has been fighting better than Yan (-310) lately.
The Brazilian has 3 straight victories over Font, Garbrandt and Vera — some of the biggest names in the division — as Figueiredo looks to position himself for 1 final shot at the strap.
If he is to win this bout, he’ll need to avoid a toe-to-toe brawl with Yan, and it would behoove him to get to the canvas as early as possible. Figueiredo will win this bout with a solid showing with plenty of top position, especially since neither of these fighters has had a lot of finishes lately, and it’s all about style points.
Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 4.5 ROUNDS (-174) is slightly more expensive, but it gives you a little big of wiggle room in the event of a potential late finish in Round 5. Yes: Will fight go the distance (-172) is slightly cheaper, but not as good of a play.
Again, Yan has ended up going the distance in 5 consecutive fights, while Figueiredo has ended up going all the way in 3 of the previous 5 outings.
FIGUEIREDO ON POINTS (+460) is also too tempting to pass up. If you like the underdog to win, that’s certainly worth a roll of the dice.
Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.
[gambcom-standard rankid=”6305″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and us on Facebook.
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=2559]