The 2024 NFL season has now surpassed it’s halfway point, as Week 10 nears it’s conclusion. Nine games into the year, the Dallas Cowboys (3-6) have a -8.0 Football Power Index (FPI) rating from ESPN, which ranks dead last, 32nd, in the league. Just a few weeks ago they were rated -1.0 and ranked 23rd, but four losses in a row and several in embarrassing fashion will plummet a franchise.
The Houston Texans (6-4), who will travel to Dallas on Sunday, are ranked 13th with a 1.2 FPI rating.
FPI is “a prediction system for the NFL. Each team’s FPI rating is composed of a predicted offensive, defensive and special teams efficiency, as measured by expected points added per play, and that rating is the basis for FPI’s game-level and season-level projections,” according to ESPN.com. FPI “represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule.”
Here’s a look at the ratings heading into the weekend action.
- Detroit Lions (8-1): 7.5
- Baltimore Ravens (7-3): 7.0
- Buffalo Bills (8-2): 6.0
- Kansas City Chiefs (9-0): 5.4
- San Francisco 49ers (5-4): 4.4
- Green Bay Packers (6-3): 4.4
- Philadelphia Eagles (7-2): 4.2
- Minnesota Vikings (7-2): 2.3
- Washington Commanders (7-3): 2.0
- Pittsburgh Steelers (7-2): 1.9
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6): 1.7
- Arizona Cardinals (6-4): 1.5
- Houston Texans (6-4): 1.2
- Atlanta Falcons (6-4): 0.8
- Cincinnati Bengals (4-6): 0.7
- Los Angeles Chargers (6-3): 0.7
- New York Jets (3-7): 0.2
- Cleveland Browns (2-7): -0.3
- Los Angeles Rams (4-5): -0.4
- Miami Dolphins (3-6): -0.7
- New Orleans Saints (3-7): -1.3
- Seattle Seahawks (4-5): -1.4
- Chicago Bears (4-5): -1.4
- Indianapolis Colts (4-6): -1.6
- Denver Broncos (5-5): -2.8
- New York Giants (2-8): -4.6
- Las Vegas Raiders (2-7): -4.8
- Jacksonville Jaguars (2-8): -5.1
- Tennesee Titans (2-7): -5.2
- New England Patriots (3-7): -6.5
- Carolina Panthers (3-7): -7.4
- Dallas Cowboys (3-6): -8.0
The records say there’s a reasonable gap between the Cowboys and Falcons. FPI says otherwise.