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The Dallas Mavericks (5-3) welcome the Phoenix Suns (7-1) to American Airlines Center Friday. Tip is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Suns vs. Mavericks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Suns lead 1-0
The Suns have won 6 straight games since losing in their second game of the season to the Los Angeles Lakers. Phoenix is coming off a 115-112 home victory over the Miami Heat Wednesday. While it has won consistently, it hasn’t covered consistently and is just 2-6 against the spread (ATS) and 0-3 ATS in the last 3. The Suns are averaging 114 points per game during the win streak. Phoenix is led by F Kevin Durant (27.8 points per gaame) and G Devin Booker (24.4 PPG).
The Mavericks throttled the Chicago Bulls 119-99 Wednesday, closing as a 10-point home favorite. They have won 3 of their last 5, alternating winning and losing over those 5. Dallas is 4-4 ATS on the season and 3-3 ATS at home. It averages 113 PPG on the season, but has averaged 123 points in its last 2 games. The Mavericks are led by MVP candidate G Luka Doncic, who is averaging 28.6 points, 8.1 rebounds and 8.1 assists per game.
Suns at Mavericks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 12:21 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Suns +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Mavericks -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Suns +3.5 (-115) | Mavericks -3.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 230.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Suns at Mavericks key injuries
Suns
- G Bradley Beal (elbow) probable
Mavericks
- G Dante Exum (wrist) out
- F Maxi Kleber (hamstring) doubtful
- C Dereck Lively II (shoulder) out
- F P.J. Washington (knee) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Suns at Mavericks picks and predictions
Prediction
Suns 115, Mavericks 112
Moneyline
BET SUNS (+135).
Phoenix has won 6 games in a row and beat the Mavericks at home by 12 earlier in the season. It matches up well with Doncic and company because of the length of Durant and F Royce O’Neale. The Suns have beaten quality teams over the last few weeks like the Heat and Lakers. They are 2-1 on the road as well.
The Mavericks might by 5-3, but they have been inconsistent over their last few games. Dallas is 1-3 straight up after a win. While it is 4-2 at home, it has lost to the Houston Rockets and Indiana Pacers at home in the last 10 days. The Mavericks are also more inefficient with 2 of their top 3 scoring weapons shooting 45% or worse from the field.
With those trends in mind, back SUNS (+135).
Against the spread
PASS.
Avoid this play. The Suns are acceptable as a road underdog play, but the value is far better for them to win outright. Similarly, the Mavericks have came up short after too many wins to take here.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 230.5 (-110).
The Mavericks have gone Under in 3 of their 4 games and have allowed 99 or fewer points in 2 of their last 3, so they have a capable defense. Dallas does sit 11th in the league in pace, but ranks third in defensive rating, so despite a faster-than-usual pace, it has thrived defensively.
Phoenix doesn’t play at an overly fast pace, ranking 16th in the league. It has allowed 112 or fewer points in 4 of its last 6 games and 105 of fewer points in 3 of its last 6. The Suns have scored under 115 points in 4 of its last 6 games. Considering those trends, back UNDER 230.5 (-110).
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