Milwaukee Bucks at Cleveland Cavaliers odds, picks and predictions

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The Milwaukee Bucks (1-5) and Cleveland Cavaliers (7-0) meet Monday at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse with tip-off set for 7 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Bucks vs. Cavaliers odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cavaliers lead 1-0

The Cavaliers stayed undefeated on Saturday night, beating the Milwaukee Bucks 114-113 with a clutch jumper from G Donovan Mitchell just three-tenths of a second left on the clock. In the first matcup of a home-and-home series against Milwaukee, tha Cavs won as 2-point road underdogs and the Under (230.5) cashed. Mitchell led the Cavs with 30 points, 4 assists, and 3 rebounds, while C Jarrett Allen contributed a double-double (15 points, 12 rebounds).

The dynamic duo of G Damian Lillard and F Giannis Antetokounmpo fought valiantly but couldn’t secure a win, marking the Bucks’ fifth straight loss since their season opener. Together, they accounted for 75 of Milwaukee’s 113 points, with Lillard hitting 10 three-pointers and Giannis nearly achieving a triple-double with 16 rebounds and 9 assists. The Bucks held a 16-point lead during the game, but couldn’t hold off the Cavs.

Bucks at Cavaliers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 8:28 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Bucks +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Cavaliers -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Bucks +7.5 (-115) | Cavaliers -7.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 230.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Bucks at Cavaliers key injuries

Bucks

F Giannis Antetokounmpo (adductor) questionable
F Marjon Beauchamp (illness) out
G Pat Connaughton (adductor) probable

Cavaliers

G Caris LeVert (knee) questionable
G Jaylon Tyson (hip) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Bucks at Cavaliers picks and predictions

Prediction

Cavaliers 121, Bucks 112

Moneyline

PASS.

The first leg was a nail-biter, but the Cavaliers (-275) will capitalize on their home-court advantage this time. I’m confident Cleveland will win and cover the spread which is where I’ll take my wager.

Against the spread

BET CAVALIERS -7.5 (-105).

Milwaukee is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games and has faced challenges against Cleveland, going 2-5 ATS in their last 7 matchups and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games in Cleveland. The teams’ net ratings highlight their disparity: the Bucks sit at 25th in the league with a -7.0 rating, while the Cavaliers boast an impressive 14.3 net rating, ranking 3rd overall.

Cleveland is riding a wave of success, with a 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games and 5-1 ATS at home. Their true shooting percentage of 63.4 leads the league, contrasting sharply with Milwaukee’s 57.5. Given these factors, I confidently predict that the Cavaliers will cover the spread at home.

Over/Under

BET OVER 230.5 (-105).

Both teams are both playing at a fast pace to start the season, with Milwaukee ranking 9th (101.58 pace) and Cleveland at 11th (100.86). In their last meeting just 48 hours ago, the teams combined for 227 points. Neither team has excelled at defending the 3-point line, as Milwaukee allows 36.4% and Cleveland 35.9%. With the total going Over in 6 of the Cavaliers’ last 9 games and 5 of their last 6 home games on Mondays, betting the Over is the better option for this matchup.

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