Wisconsin took another significant jump in ESPN SP+ after its 23-3 win over Northwestern on Saturday.
The victory improved the Badgers to 5-2 on the season and 3-1 in Big Ten play. It also pushed the team up from No. 32 (No. 64 on offense, No. 16 on defense) in ESPN SP+ to No. 20 (12.0 overall rating — No. 63 on offense, No. 11 on defense).
The Badgers are now the metric’s 5th-highest-ranked Big Ten team, behind only Ohio State at No. 1 (29.1), Oregon at No. 5 (24.6), Penn State at No. 6 (24.4) and Indiana at No. 12 (18.8). SP+’s latest update sees the Badgers inch toward the tier of the elite teams of the conference.
Wisconsin moves forward to a primetime matchup with Penn State, a game that may define each team’s season. For the Badgers, it is a chance for a program-defining upset at home in front of a national audience. The Luke Fickell era would benefit greatly from a statement performance and a true announcement of arrival.
For Penn State, it’s close to a must-win with a showdown against Ohio State on the horizon.
SP+ RANKINGS AFTER 8 WEEKS
* Everybody stinks (except Indiana, Army and Navy)!
* No. 1 has changed 5x in 6 weeks
* Hello there, Hokies
* We could get SUCH a weird bracket, and I am so very much here for ithttps://t.co/W3SoVsFaXM— Bill Connelly (@ESPN_BillC) October 20, 2024
The Badgers remaining games after Penn State are against SP+’s No. 23 team Iowa (11.4), No. 5 Oregon (24.6), No. 32 Nebraska (9.6) and No. 42 Minnesota (7.3).
Wisconsin’s combined margin of 117-16 over its three-game win streak over Purdue, Rutgers and Northwestern signals clear improvement from Fickell’s team and program. Its improved SP+ ranking reflects that.
The Badgers now have a chance to take an even further step with wins over Penn State or Oregon. They could factor into what will be a down-to-the-wire Big Ten race.
For what it’s worth, ESPN’s Bill Connelly listed the Badgers among the teams significantly overachieving compared to SP+ projects as of late. One of those signature upset victories could make the team one of the surprises of the college football season.
Teams most significantly overachieving vs. SP+ projections at the moment:
1. Jax State
2. Indiana
3. Colorado
4. Wisconsin
5. Tulane
6. ULM!!!
7. NavyTeams most significantly underachieving:
134. Tulsa
133. Nebraska
132. Arizona
131. UAB
130. Oklahoma
129. Utah
128. Rutgers— Bill Connelly (@ESPN_BillC) October 20, 2024
The Badgers and Nittany Lions will kick off at 7:30 p.m. ET, 6:30 p.m. CT at Camp Randall Stadium. The game will be broadcast on NBC — streaming on Peacock.
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