New Mexico State at Jacksonville State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New Mexico State at Jacksonville State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New Mexico State Aggies (1-4, 0-2 Conference USA) visit the Jacksonville State Gamecocks (2-3, 1-0) in a Wednesday night tussle in Jacksonville, Ala. Kickoff at AmFirst Stadium will be at 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around New Mexico State vs. Jacksonville State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

New Mexico State went 0-for-September after defeating visiting FCS Southeast Missouri State 23-16 in its Aug. 31 season opener. The Aggies have twice been held under 200 yards in total offense and are averaging just 263.8 yards per game overall, which ranks 126th in the nation — out of 133 teams — according to NCAA.com.

The Aggies never led in their most recent loss, a 50-40 defeat as 9-point home underdogs to the rival New Mexico Lobos. The Over (54) easily hit as there were a combined 43 points scored in the 4th quarter. For the season, State is 1-4 against the spread (ATS) with a 2-2-1 Over/Under record.

Jacksonville State defeated Kennesaw State 63-24 Friday and has rallied with back-to-back victories after opening 0-3. The Gamecocks covered as 17-point home favorites for their 2nd cover in a row — they’re 2-3 ATS on the season with a 4-1 O/U record.

A solid ground game that ranks 23rd in yards per game (204.4) and 27th in yards per carry (5.21) has propelled the Gamecocks on offense. QB Tyler Huff leads JSU with 445 rushing yards (5 TDs), while RB Tre Stewart has 354 rushing yards with a team-high 8 TDs.

NMSU won last year’s meeting — the only time the 2 teams have met — 20-17 as a 2.5-point home underdog with the Under (48) cashing Nov. 25.

– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports 

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New Mexico State at Jacksonville State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Tuesday at 6:21 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: New Mexico State +800 (bet $100 to win $800) | Jacksonville State -1400 (bet $1,400 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): New Mexico State +20.5 (-110) | Jacksonville State -20.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 58.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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New Mexico State at Jacksonville State picks and predictions

Prediction

Jacksonville State 38, New Mexico State 24

Moneyline

No interest here: PASS.

Against the spread

NMSU is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 CUSA games.

Jacksonville State is the better team on both sides of the ball, but this spread stretches the Gamecocks’ advantage too thin. JSU will want to pass to be at its best, but expect the Aggies — a decent team in defensive passing success rate — to hold enough sway in that area of the game.

Look for NMSU to get some 3rd-down stops and at least be able to back-door a cover if it falls behind early. Plus, JSU takes the field on short rest, while the Aggies should come in fresh.

TAKE AGGIES +20.5 (-110).

Over/Under

The Over is 5-1 across Jacksonville State’s last 6 games.

JSU ranks as a high-speed offense when it comes to seconds per play, and usually trailing NMSU is in the top half of that statistical category. On a good-weather night in Alabama, look for both teams to find the end zone enough times to push this contest into the 60’s.

TAKE OVER 58.5 (-110).

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