New England Patriots at Washington Commanders odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New England Patriots at Washington Commanders odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Washington Commanders (0-2) welcome the New England Patriots (1-1) to Commanders Field for their preseason finale Sunday. Kickoff is set for 8 p.m. ET (NBC/Peacock). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Commanders vs. Patriots odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Patriots are gearing up for their 1st post-Bill Belichick regular season, but before Week 1, they still have some roster battles to settle. The kicker competition between Chad Ryland and Joey Slye is heating up, with Ryland struggling. Offensively, they’re trying to improve after a rough season, but WR Javon Baker‘s drops and WR Kayshon Boutte being on the bubble raise concerns. Rookie QB Drake Maye is the focus, but Joe Milton III might edge out Bailey Zappe for QB3. With lots of shuffling on the O-line, will the Patriots finally hit 20 points in a preseason game on Sunday?

The Commanders are making moves as the regular season nears, trading WR Jahan Dotson to the Philadelphia Eagles. This opens opportunities for receivers like Martavis Bryant and Kazmeir Allen. With rookie QB Jayden Daniels already named the Week 1 starter (he won’t play in this game), the focus shifts to the QB3 battle between Jeff Driskel and Sam Hartman. Last season’s offensive line struggles, allowing the 3rd-most sacks, remain a concern. Like the Patriots, Washington has been shuffling their O-line this preseason.

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Patriots at Commanders odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:44 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Patriots -275 (bet $275 to win $100) | Commanders +225 (bet $100 to win $225)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Patriots -6.5 (-110) | Commanders +6.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 34.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Patriots at Commanders picks and predictions

Prediction

Patriots 17, Commanders 13

Moneyline

PASS.

I like the Patriots (-275) to win this game, but no way am I going to put down nearly 3 units to win 1 in return. I’ll keep my bet to the spread.

Against the spread

BET COMMANDERS +6.5 (-110)

It’s tough to picture the Patriots winning by more than 6 points on the road, especially with their injuries and struggling offense. They might pull out a win with better QB play, but it’ll probably come down to a field goal.

Washington’s secondary should have no problem containing New England’s receivers, and the Commanders could take advantage of the Patriots’ weak spots. This game will likely be close, with a win within 3 points. Washington should cover the spread.

The Patriots have not been strong against the spread, with a 6-13-1 record in their last 20 games.

Over/Under

The best strategy when betting preseason football games is to just take the Under. That goes double for the last preseason game because you are basically going to see the scrubs trying to make the roster. We will see 3rd and 4th stringers play the bulk of this game.

BET UNDER 34.5 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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