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It’s time for the postseason. This week, the FedExCup Playoffs begin with the 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship at TPC Southwind in Memphis, Tenn. It’s the 1st round of the playoffs as the top 70 players in the standings fight for 50 spots in the next round at the BMW Championship.
Below, we search for the best value prop bets from BetMGM Sportsbook among the 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.
Scottie Scheffler is back in the field this week, fresh off winning a gold medal in Paris 2 weeks ago. Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele, Collin Morikawa and Ludvig Aberg are also among the favorites behind Scheffler. Lucas Glover won this event last year, but he failed to qualify for the playoffs so he won’t be able to defend his title.
TPC Southwind is a par 70 and 7,243 yards long. It doesn’t require length off the tee and the water hazards throughout the course make it a challenging track for players. The winning score has been between 13-under and 16-under par in each of the last 5 years. Scoring opportunities are somewhat limited by the fact that there are only 2 par 5s on the course, so there’s an emphasis on par-4 scoring and mid-iron approaches.
- FedEx St. Jude Championship: Best outright winner predictions
FedEx St. Jude Championship – Top-5 picks
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 11:13 a.m. ET.
Rory McIlroy (+180)
McIlroy usually performs very well in the playoffs and TPC Southwind is a course that fits his game well with how many mid-to-long irons he’ll have to hit. He’s had finishes of 3rd, 4th and 12th here since 2019.
Ludvig Aberg (+350)
Aberg is among the best long-iron players on the planet and his accuracy off the tee will have him positioned well in the fairway more often than not. It’s his tournament debut, but that’s never caused any issues for him before.
Xander Schauffele (+160)
Schauffele is one of the most reliable players on tour right now with his consistency. He doesn’t have a great record at TPC Southwind, but his game is suited for just about every course.
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FedEx St. Jude Championship – Top-10 picks
Tommy Fleetwood (+175)
It’s tempting to bet Fleetwood to win after his podium finish in the Olympics and given his record at this course, but a top-10 bet is much safer. He has finishes of 3rd and 4th at this event in his last 4 starts, so he knows how to navigate TPC Southwind.
Hideki Matsuyama (+225)
Matsuyama is a short-game wizard, which will come in handy at TPC Southwind where players are bound to miss the greens. He finished 3rd at the Olympics and his ball-striking is on point at the moment. It’s a great recipe for him to play well again this week.
Sahith Theegala (+300)
Theegala has only played this event twice (2022-23), but he finished 13th each time. It might be safer taking him for a top-20, but getting risky with a top-10 bet is worth the gamble because of how close he’s come in the last 2 years.
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FedEx St. Jude Championship – Top-20 picks
Taylor Moore (+275)
Moore finished 31st in 2022 and 5th last year, his only 2 starts in the FedEx St. Jude Championship. He also has 2 top-12s in his last 5 starts on tour this season, so he’s playing well.
Sungjae Im (+100)
Im had a couple of close calls at the FedEx St. Jude Championship the last 2 years, finishing 6th in 2022 and 2nd last year. He’s in good form right now despite struggling last weekend at the Wyndham Championship, making him a good bet for a top-20 finish in just a 70-player field.
FedEx St. Jude Championship – Matchups
Suggested play is golfer in bold.
Sungjae Im (-105) vs. Russell Henley (-120)
Henley is surprisingly favored over Im in this bet, but I’ll take the underdog at nearly even money. Henley finished 6th here last year, but missed the cut in 2022.
Aaron Rai (-110) vs. Billy Horschel (-110)
Rai just won the Wyndham Championship and while it’s possible he could struggle coming down from the high of victory after what was a long 3 days in North Carolina, I like him to finish higher than Horschel in this no-cut event.
FedEx St. Jude Championship – Top Korean
Sungjae Im (+200)
Im and Tom Kim are co-favorites at +200 to finish as the top Korean this week and both are honestly good fits for this course. But given Im’s record, he should have a slight edge.
FedEx St. Jude Championship – First-round leader
Alex Noren (+5500)
Noren is 4th on tour in 1st-round scoring average (68.47), so he often gets off to great starts. For a course that demands accuracy off the tee, he should find himself near the top of the leaderboard after Round 1.
Justin Thomas (+4000)
Thomas led the Scottish Open after a 1st-round 62 and then came back with an opening-round 68 at the Open Championship a week later. He’s gotten off to strong starts in recent events and he hasn’t shot worse than 68 at this tournament in his last 4 starts.
More expert prop bet predictions
Group C winner: Aaron Rai (+400)
Henley (+300), Tom Kim (+330), Corey Conners (+350) and Viktor Hovland (+400) are the other 4 competitors in this market, making Rai tied for the worst odds of the 5. His win at the Wyndham was impressive, once again showing he’s one of the best ball-strikers on tour.
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