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The Wisconsin Badgers (21-12) and No. 3 Purdue Boilermakers (29-3) meet in the Big Ten Tournament semifinals Saturday at Target Center in Minneapolis. Tip-off is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Wisconsin vs. Purdue odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.
The 5th-seeded Badgers topped Maryland and Northwestern to get into the semifinals, covering both tournament games and 4 straight contests dating back to March 7. The Under (135) cashed against the Wildcats Friday, halting a 7-game Over run for the Badgers.
The 1st-seeded Boilermakers scratched past Michigan State Friday, 67-62, but Purdue failed to cover as an 8.5-point favorite as the Under (141.5) hit. Purdue has won 6 in a row, but it has failed to cover 4 of the previous 5 outings.
Purdue dumped Wisconsin 78-70 in the regular-season finale last Sunday, coming up short as a 10-point favorite, though. The Over (147.5) connected and was 2-0 in both regular-season meetings with the Badgers. The Boilermakers also won 75-69 in Madison Feb. 4 as 2-point favorites.
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Wisconsin vs. Purdue odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Wisconsin +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | Purdue -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Wisconsin +6.5 (-115) | Purdue -6.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 143.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Wisconsin vs. Purdue picks and predictions
Prediction
Purdue 75, Wisconsin 70
Moneyline
Purdue (-275) will cost you nearly 3 times your potential, and that’s way too much risk for not enough reward.
Wisconsin (+220) hasn’t been able to get over the hump against the Boilermakers in 2 meetings this season, but the Badgers have made the No. 1 seed sweat in both games. This will be closer than Purdue wants.
PASS.
Against the spread
WISCONSIN +6.5 (-115) will cost a little extra, but it is worth the price.
The Badgers have cashed in each of the 2 regular-season meetings with Purdue -6.5 (-105), and the Boilermakers are just 1-4 ATS in the past 5 games and 4-8 ATS across the previous 12 outings.
On the flip side, Wisconsin has cashed in 4 in a row while going 3-0-1 ATS in 4 neutral-site contests this season.
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Over/Under
OVER 143.5 (-105) is worth a look, but play it very, very lightly.
The Under cashed last time out against Northwestern, but Wisconsin has hit the Over at a 7-1 clip in the past 8 games, and both meetings cashed against Purdue in the regular season.
The total went low in the opening game of the Big Ten tourney against Michigan State, but Purdue has seen the Over cash in 4 of the past 6 games while hitting in 7 of the past 11 contests.
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