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In a 3-round bantamweight bout on the main card, Jonathan Martinez and Adrian Yanez meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 230 — also known as UFC Vegas 81 — at UFC Apex. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s around the UFC Fight Night 230: Martinez vs. Yanez odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The prelims can be viewed on ESPN+ starting at 4 p.m. ET with the main card following on ESPN+ at 7 p.m. ET.
Records: Martinez (18-4-0) | Yanez (16-3-0)
Martinez suffered a 2nd-round KO/TKO loss to Davey Grant back on March 13, 2021 at UFC Vegas 21. He has since rebounded with 5 straight victories, including 4 unanimous-decision wins and a 2nd-round KO/TKO against veteran Cub Swanson. His win last time out against Said Nurmagomedov in March was impressive, too.
Yanez is looking for redemption after getting dropped by Rob Font in a 1st-round knockout at UFC 287. That halted a 5-0 run to begin his UFC career, a rise which was rather meteoric. He can get some respect back with a win over Martinez in a fairly even fight.
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UFC Fight Night 230: Jonathan Martinez vs. Adrian Yanez odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:37 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Martinez -116 (bet $116 to win $100) | Yanez -102 (bet $102 to win $100)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over +108 | Under -136)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +132 | No -172)
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UFC Fight Night 230: Jonathan Martinez vs. Adrian Yanez picks and predictions
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
YANEZ (-102) is worth a look as the slight underdog in this fight. He has tremendous punching power, registering 6.75 significant strikes landed per minute. While he is a bit of a whirling dervish, landing just 41.04% of those strikes, if he lands them, they’re going to count.
Martinez (-116) will want to try and get in close to use his knees and kicks to tenderize the legs of Yanez and break him down. But that’s a dangerous strategy getting close to those fists.
Yanez has been involved in 6 KO/TKO fights since Dana White’s Contender Series in Aug. 2020, winning 5 of those knockouts, while losing to Font. Martinez is more technical, doing enough to wow the judges. But he won’t get that opportunity here, as YANEZ BY KO/TKO (+230) is worth a look for the chance to double up.
Over/Under (O/U)
UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (-136) is worth a roll of the dice, and I like it better than No (-172): Will the fight go the distance? The Under is a much better value, as I think Yanez does the work, and gets the KO/TKO sometime in either Round 1 or Round 2.
As a result, play a “KO/TKO Round Combo” prop, rolling with YANEZ TO WIN BY KO/TKO IN ROUNDS 1 OR 2 (+320) for the chance to triple up.
Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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