NFL player props: 5 best bets for Week 4

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Week 4 is the NFL’s final week before the annual bye week reduction of available teams arrives, so we have a full Sunday and Monday slate for plays. Our options for this week’s picks include a player in the London game, a couple of running backs who are underachieving, a revenge play and a Miami Dolphins player who missed out on last week’s 10-touchdown barrage.

Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds and lines, and tab the best NFL Week 4 player prop bets to cash in on among SportbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.

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NFL Week 4 prop bet picks and predictions

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 6:49 a.m. ET. All games Sunday and ET unless noted.

Falcons RB Bijan Robinson OVER 25.5 receiving yards (-115)

– Vs. Jaguars (in London), 9:30 a.m. (ESPN+)

Robinson has been splitting time with RB Tyler Allgeier in the backfield but has been used extensively as a receiver. He leads the Falcons with 14 receptions and is at his most dangerous in space. He has topped this number in all 3 games this season and has yet to catch fewer than 4 passes in any of them. All he needs is to get one chance out in space and he can pick up the necessary yards with just 1 reception.

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Dolphins WR Jaylen Waddle SCORES A TOUCHDOWN (+160)

– At Bills, 1 p.m. (CBS)

Waddle missed out on the scoring barrage last week vs. the Denver Broncos but he returns for Buffalo Week 4. He owned the Bills secondary in 2 games last season, catching 7 passes for 216 yards — almost 31 yards a catch — and a touchdown in the game in Buffalo. He’s getting a good return on investment and only needs to get loose deep once to cash in.

Colts RB Zack Moss UNDER 66.5 rushing yards (-115)

– Host Rams, 1 p.m. (FOX)

Moss has put together a couple of huge games in his last 2 outings, but the Rams held Seattle Seahawks RB Kenneth Walker and Cincinnati Bengals RB Joe Mixon under this number and both of them are more dynamic runners than Moss.

The return of QB Anthony Richardson will likely cut back on Moss’ carries. He will likely need 15 attempts or more to surpass this number and that’s no guarantee against a Rams defense geared up to stop him and force Richardson to pass.

Steelers RB Najee Harris UNDER 57.5 rushing yards (-120)

– At Texans, 1 p.m. (CBS)

Harris has been disappointing all season. The only game he hit over this number was when he had 65 yards against the hapless Las Vegas Raiders last week – and needed a season-high 19 carries to get there. People scoff at the Texans, but their defense is solid. The Steelers haven’t given up on Harris — unlike a lot of fantasy managers — but RB Jaylen Warren‘s carry share has increased each week, which is a sign the Steelers coaching staff is losing confidence in Harris.

Panthers WR Adam Thielen OVER 4.5 receptions (-110)

– Host Vikings, 1 p.m. (FOX)

There’s always something to be said about a revenge play. Thielen spent his entire career with the Vikings before being released in the offseason, so he has plenty of incentive to make them know he still has value. In the last 2 games (against the New Orleans Saints and Seahawks) was targeted 23 times and caught 18 passes for 199 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He is a precise route-runner who gets separation and the 5 receptions he needs don’t have to be downfield throws. Carolina will look to get him involved early against his former team.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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