The Atlanta Falcons will travel to face the Miami Dolphins on Friday to kickstart their 2023 preseason schedule at Hard Rock Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Falcons vs. Dolphins odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Falcons registered a 7-10 record in 2022, which was only 1 game behind the division-winning Tampa Bay Buccaneers. There is more excitement surrounding Atlanta in 2023 with QB Desmond Ridder getting the nod under center and the arrival of rookie RB Bijan Robinson.
The Dolphins seemed poised for a postseason berth in 2022 before QB Tua Tagovailoa dealt with various injuries. In Mike McDaniel’s second year as head coach, Miami could push for contention this season despite All-Pro CB Jalen Ramsey missing time due to undergoing knee surgery recently.
Neither team is expected to play starters for an extended period of time in Friday’s exhibition contest.
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Falcons at Dolphins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:40 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Falcons -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Dolphins +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Against the spread (ATS): Falcons -2.5 (-110) | Dolphins +2.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 36 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Falcons at Dolphins picks and predictions
Prediction
Dolphins 24, Falcons 20
Moneyline
While the Falcons have Robinson making his preseason debut, I’ll take the DOLPHINS (+115) at home Friday. Arthur Smith and McDaniel both went 2-1 in the preseason in 2022, though, the depth that Miami now has makes me lean toward the home squad.
Against the spread
DOLPHINS +2.5 (-110) is the pick here as QB Mike White should get decent run as the backup for Miami. The Dolphins’ lone preseason loss last year was a 2-point defeat to the Las Vegas Raiders.
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Over/Under
OVER 36 (-110) is how I’d bet on the total with Ridder potentially getting the start in his first full season as the starter. The Dolphins will likely rest the majority of their starters, but McDaniel is capable of dialing up points with his backups.
The Falcons posted 27 or more points in 2 of their 3 preseason matchups in 2022. Meanwhile, the Dolphins scored 26 or more points in 2 of their 3 preseason contests a year ago, including 48 points on the Philadelphia Eagles in the preseason finale.
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