In the first quarterfinal of the 2023 Women’s World Cup, Spain battles Netherlands Thursday. Kickoff from Wellington Regional Stadium is set for 9 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Spain vs. Netherlands odds, and make our best Women’s World Cup bets, picks and predictions.
Spain thrashed Switzerland 5-1 in the Round of 16 after finishing 2nd in Group C to earn a bid in the knockout stage. It had 8 goals for and 4 against, with all 4 of its goals against coming in a 4-0 loss to Japan. Its two victories were a 3-0 win over Costa Rica and a 5-0 rout of Zambia 5-0.
Spain had 10 shots on goal and 26 shots which looked dominant compared to Switzerland’s 1 and 2, respectively, as M Aitana Bonmati led the way with 2 goals. Spain sits 6th in the FIFA Women’s Ranking.
Netherlands ranks 9th in the world and eliminated South Africa with a 2-0 victory in the Round of 16 despite having 1 fewer shot on goal. It finished atop Group E, a unit that had the No. 1-ranked USA, whom it drew 1-1. It also beat Portugal 1-0 and Vietnam 7-0.
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Spain vs. Netherlands odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 2:25 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Spain -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Netherlands +290 (bet $100 to win $290) | Draw +225
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +125 | U: -170)
Spain vs. Netherlands picks and predictions
Prediction
Spain 2, Netherlands 1
Moneyline (ML)
BET SPAIN (-105).
Spain has looked too good for most of the tournament to bet against. Switzerland didn’t give up a single goal in a tough group with Norway and New Zealand but Spain quickly changed that, tallying 5 in the 90 minutes.
Netherlands has a similar pace, having allowed just 1 throughout the 4 matches. However, it did allow a combined 11 shots on goal against South Africa and USA. Those attempts should start to be converted by better teams, and Spain has proven its finishing ability.
Spain has given up 5 goals (4 to Japan and 1 to Switzerland). Those 4 to Japan were when the knockout stage was already clinched, and against Switzerland, it was an own goal.
Spain has a solid defense and arguably the best attack left in the tournament. Take it to win outright.
Over/Under (O/U)
LEAN OVER 2.5 (+125).
Spain has pushed teams to their limits. It beat Switzerland 5-1, Zambia 5-0 and Costa Rica 3-0.
The game against Japan was an outlier as it ended with more shots and over three-quarters possession. Spain has gone north of this total in every game and should be able to get on the board quickly enough to open the game up. It scored 4 before halftime on Switzerland after opening scoring in the 5th minute.
Netherlands has a good offense as well and showed some life in the final third against South Africa. It is a top-10 team for a reason, and with 14 shots against its first knockout opponent, it showcased some strength in the attack.
Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.
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