FC Koln (10 wins, 11 losses 12 draws) welcomes Bayern Munich (20-5-8) to RheinEnergieStadion Saturday. Kickoff for the regular-season finale is set for 9:30 a.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the FC Koln vs. Bayern Munich odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.
Bayern Munich had the Bundesliga in its control until a 3-1 loss to RB Leipzig last weekend. With every team having played 33 games, Bayern (68 points) sits 2 points behind Borussia Dortmund for the top spot in the league. Bayern averages 2.73 goals per game and is led by F Serge Gnabry, who has 14 goals in 33 matches. Defensively, the Bavarians (Die Bayern) allow 1.12 goals per game.
FC Koln is 6-5-5 at home. The Billy Goats (Die Geißböcke) average 1.45 goals per game and allow 1.58. They are coming off a 1-1 draw at Werder Bremen May 20. FC Koln is led offensively by MF Ellyes Skhiri, who has scored 7 goals in 31 matches. Koln has won 4 of its last 7 matches and 2 of its last 3.
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FC Koln vs. Bayern Munich odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:22 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: FC Koln +575 (bet $100 to win $575) | Bayern Munich -275 (bet $275 to win $100) | Draw +475
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: -155 | U: +110)
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FC Koln vs. Bayern Munich picks and predictions
Prediction
Bayern Munich 2, FC Koln 1
Moneyline (ML)
PASS.
Bayern Munich has to win to have any chance at the Bundesliga title. While the hope is still slim for it to get the top spot, this will be a must-win game for the road side. It is also a significantly better team and had 0.6 more expected goals against Koln in the team’s first battle, a 1-1 draw in January.
However, the -275 ML price it is far too expensive to play. Draw (+475) may have some value, but I’d ultimately look toward the total for the better play in this match.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER 3.5 (+110).
Bayern has gone Under this total in 4 of its last 7 matches. It had just 1.4 expected goals at home against Koln in January. Bayern’s defense has also performed well as of late, allowing 0 or 1 goal in 5 of its last 7 battles.
Koln’s defense may not be very good, but it has allowed multiple goals in just 1 of its last 8 matches. The Billy Goats have scored multiple goals in just 4 of its last 13 games despite averaging 1.45 goals per game.
Considering the recent performance of both teams, TAKE UNDER 3.5 (+110).
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