In a heavyweight bout in the main event, Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Jailton Almeida meet Saturday at UFC on ABC 4 at Spectrum Center in Charlotte, N.C. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ABC 4: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The prelims are on ESPN/ESPN+ at noon ET, with the main card on ABC/ESPN+ at 3 p.m. ET.
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Rozenstruik takes the walk looking to build upon his 1st round knockout of Chris Daukaus last time out at UFC 282 in December. That victory halted a 2-bout losing streak, including a setback against Alexander Volkov in the previous outing. “Bigi Boy” has a 3-4 record across his last 7 bouts, with 2 losses via KO/TKO.
Almeida is not only 4-0 in his 4 bouts since making his UFC debut, but he has 2 KO/TKO and 2 submission wins. The Brazilian fighter has posted finishes in 13 consecutive pro fights since a unanimous decision loss to Bruno Assis at Shooto Brazil 80 back on Jan. 28, 2018.
Almeida holds a 4.19-to-2.93 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, while landing 69.86% of those punches. He is also tremendous on the mat, managing a 6.73 takedown average, and a 70.59% takedown accuracy percentage with a 2.24 submission average.
UFC on ABC 4: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Rozenstruik +365 (bet $100 to win $365) | Almeida -500 (bet $500 to win $100)
- Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over +160 | Under -225)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +650 | No -1600)
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UFC on ABC 4: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida picks and predictions
Records: Rozenstruik (13-4-0) | Almeida (18-2-0)
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
Almeida (-500) will cost you 5 times your potential return, and that’s just too much risk for not enough reward.
The Brazilian fighter gets stoppages and plenty of victories but it’s better to play the method of victory rather than just taking the fighter on the 2-way line.
I think Rozenstruik can hang around at least into Round 2. As such, I absolutely love ALMEIDA BY KO/TKO/DQ IN ROUND 2 (+1200) for a chance to multiply your initial wager by 12 times.
Over/Under (O/U)
No (-1600): Will the fight go the distance? is absolutely ridiculous, and should be avoided. Instead, in this 5-round bout, I’d roll the dice on OVER 1.5 ROUNDS (+160) for a chance to get a solid return. However, know that this fight must last until there is 1:29 remaining in Round 2, as some bettors tend to mix this wager up a little bit.
Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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