Sacramento Kings at Golden State Warriors Game 6 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Sacramento Kings at Golden State Warriors odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Sacramento Kings and Golden State Warriors play Game 6 of their Western Conference 1st-round series Friday at Chase Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Kings vs. Warriors odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Warriors lead the series 3-2 and the Kings have covered the spread in 3 of the 5 games.

The Kings failed to cover as 2-point home underdogs Wednesday in Game 5 in a 123-116 loss vs. the Warriors as the Over (233.5) hit. G De’Aaron Fox had 24 points despite playing with a broken finger on his shooting hand.

Stephen Curry scored a game-high 31 points as the Warriors won their 3rd straight after trailing 2-0 in the series.

Golden State is 37-13-1 against the spread in their last 51 home games vs. teams with a winning road record.

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Kings at Warriors odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:16 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Kings +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Warriors -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Kings +7.5 (-110) | Warriors -7.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 236.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Kings at Warriors key injuries

Kings

  • None

Warriors

  • Andre Iguodala (wrist) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Kings at Warriors picks and predictions

Prediction

Warriors 125, Kings 106

Moneyline

PASS.

The Warriors (-300) should close out the series Friday at Chase Center, but there is no need to pay the higher price on the moneyline when Golden State should win by margin. Bet the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

BET WARRIORS -7.5 (-110).

The Warriors are much more dangerous at home and are 40-17-1 ATS in their last 58 home games. Golden State should come out extra focused to close out the series at Chase Center and avoid playing a Game 7 on the road. Sacramento is a young team and may lack confidence after losing 3 straight games to the defending NBA champions. Look for Golden State to secure a double-digit lead early and to not let Sacramento back in the game.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 236.5 (-110).

The Under is 5-1 in Sacramento’s last 6 games after scoring 100 or more points in its previous contest and 4-1 in its last 5 on the road.

The Under has gone 17-7-1 in Golden State’s last 25 vs. teams with a winning record and should hit again Friday as the Warriors tighten up defensively to avoid playing a Game 7 on the road.

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