The Minnesota Timberwolves welcome the Denver Nuggets to Target Center Sunday for Game 4 of their 1st-round Western Conference playoffs series. Tip is set for 9:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nuggets vs. Timberwolves odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Wolves are down 3-0 and will be looking to stave off a series sweep Sunday.
Minnesota lost Game 3 120-111 on Friday, failing to cover as a 1.5-point home underdog. G Anthony Edwards and F Karl-Anthony Towns combined for 63 points in the loss.
The Nuggets have been led in scoring by G Jamal Murray, who is averaging 27.3 points per game in the series. Six Nuggets are averaging 10 or more points per game throughout the first 3 games.
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Nuggets at Timberwolves odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:54 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Nuggets -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Timberwolves +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
- Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets -3.5 (-115) | Timberwolves +3.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 224.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Nuggets at Timberwolves key injuries
Nuggets
- None
Timberwolves
- None
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Nuggets at Timberwolves picks and predictions
Prediction
Timberwolves 118, Nuggets 114
Moneyline
SPRINKLE TIMBERWOLVES (+145).
The Wolves had Game 3 within 6 points multiple times in the 4th quarter.
They weren’t able to quite break through, but they have the talented scorers and the size to make that run in Game 4. Minnesota was 22-19 at home during the regular season.
It is difficult to pull off a clean sweep against a team of Minnesota’s caliber, and I’d back them getting one back Sunday.
Against the spread
BET TIMBERWOLVES +3.5 (-105).
The Wolves have failed to cover every game of this series, and the spread has adjusted accordingly. They have a talented team that hasn’t played up to par.
Towns has shot just 40.9% from the field this series and his play should improve to the mean. Similarly, C Nikola Jokic, F Michael Porter Jr. and F Aaron Gordon all have shot 50% from deep and are due to regress.
Minnesota should find a way to improve its play. Denver was just 11-16 ATS as a road favorite this season, so it hasn’t performed well in this situation for most of the season.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 224.5 (-110).
The Over has hit in 2 straight games as Denver has scored 120 or more points in Game 2 and Game 3. Minnesota has topped 110 in both games as well.
Denver is 4-2 O/U in its last 6 games and has one of the league’s most efficient offenses, ranking No. 1 in effective field goal rate (57.3%). Couple that with the Wolves, who rank 7th in pace, and there should be points scored Sunday.
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