The Sacramento Kings and Golden State Warriors play Game 4 of their Western Conference 1st-round series Sunday at Chase Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Kings vs. Warriors odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Kings lead the series 2-1 straight up and against the spread (ATS).
The Kings failed to cover the spread as 6-point underdogs in Game 3 in a 114-97 loss at the Warriors. C Domantas Sabonis was cleared to play and finished with 15 points and 16 rebounds after Warriors F Draymond Green stepped on his chest in Game 2.
The Warriors covered in Game 3 despite missing 2 of their best defenders in Green (suspension) and Gary Payton II (illness). G Stephen Curry scored 36 points and C Kevon Looney had a career-high 20 rebounds.
Green is expected to play Sunday after serving his 1-game suspension.
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Kings at Warriors odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:22 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Kings +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Warriors -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Kings +7.5 (-110) | Warriors -7.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 237.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Kings at Warriors key injuries
Kings
- None
Warriors
- F Andre Iguodala (wrist) out
- G Gary Payton II (illness) probable
- G Jordan Poole (ankle) probable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Kings at Warriors picks and predictions
Prediction
Warriors 117, Kings 114
Moneyline
PASS.
Golden State (-350) has the 3rd-best winning percentage at home this season at 81% and should be able to pull out another win. However, the Warriors are being slightly overvalued on the moneyline vs. the Kings who are 4th in road-win percentage at 59.5%. Bet the spread and/or total instead.
Against the spread
BET KINGS +7.5 (-110).
The Kings are 1st in offensive efficiency this season and should bounce back after getting blown out while scoring just 97 points last time out. Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games after a loss by more than 10 points and 11-3 ATS in its last 14 on the road. The Warriors should let down after such a dominant performance and are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after a win by more than 10 points.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 237.5 (-115).
The Under is 6-1 in Sacramento’s last 7 games and 4-0 in its last 4 on the road.
The Under has gone 9-3-1 in Golden State’s last 13 home games and 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. Look for Game 4 to be another low-scoring affair, especially with Golden State’s best 2 defenders expected to return.
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