The Sacramento Kings (48-33) and Denver Nuggets (52-29) meet Sunday at Ball Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Kings vs. Nuggets odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Kings failed to cover the spread as 10.5-point home underdogs Friday in a 119-97 loss vs. the Golden State Warriors. F Trey Lyles and C Chimezie Metu scored 15 points each for the 3rd-place Kings, who rested their top 3 scorers.
The Nuggets failed to cover as 9.5-point road favorites Saturday in a 118-114 loss at the Utah Jazz. G Kentavious Caldwell-Pope had a season-high 21 points as 1st-place Denver lost for the 5th time in 6 games.
The season series is tied 1-1 with the Nuggets covering in both meetings and the Over hitting in 1 of the 2. Denver covered as a 3.5-point road underdog in a 127-126 loss on Dec. 28 as the Over (237.5) cashed in the most recent meeting.
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Kings at Nuggets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:33 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Kings -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Nuggets +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
- Against the spread (ATS): Kings -5.5 (-110) | Nuggets +5.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 229.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Kings at Nuggets key injuries
Kings
- G Davion Mitchell (knee) questionable
- G Malik Monk (leg) questionable
Nuggets
- Not yet submitted
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Kings at Nuggets picks and predictions
Prediction
Kings 115, Nuggets 106
Moneyline
PASS.
Sacramento (-200) should win since there has been speculation that Denver will rest some of its starters, but there is no need to pay the higher price on the moneyline when the Kings should win by margin. Bet the spread and/or total instead.
Against the spread
BET KINGS -5.5 (-110).
It is rare that teams will be favored in Denver, but this is a unique situation since the Nuggets may be resting starters. The Kings will send out a full lineup Sunday and should be able to easily win if they’re facing backups. Sacramento is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games after a loss and should be looking to bounce back and treat this game as a tune-up for the playoffs.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 229.5 (-115).
The Under is 10-2 in Denver’s last 12 games and 4-0 in its last 4 at home.
The Under has hit in 6 of Sacramento’s last 7 after allowing 100 or more points and should cash again Sunday if the Nuggets rest their top scorers.
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