-The 2022 New York Mets won 101 regular-season games, but were then ousted by the San Diego Padres in a best-of-3 Wild-Card series. Since then, the Mets have spent a boatload of cash, retaining free agents OF Brandon Nimmo and RHP Edwin Diaz, bringing in RHP Justin Verlander to replace RHP Jacob deGrom, and signing RHP Kodai Senga from Japan.
So, New York is reloading and all indications are that more high-octane help could be coming at the trade deadline if warranted. Let’s analyze the New York Mets’ World Series odds, along with their projected win total, playoff, division and NL odds as we make our expert MLB picks and predictions.
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New York Mets World Series odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday, March 21, at 10:19 p.m. ET.
Odds: +700 (bet $100 to win $700)
New York is tied for the 2nd-shortest odds to win it all. The Houston Astros (+600) are the favorites, followed by the Los Angeles Dodgers (+700) and the Mets.
At +700, New York has an implied probability of winning the World Series of 12.5% or 7/1 fractional odds.
The Oakland A’s have the longest odds at +40000. The Washington Nationals are next at +30000.
The dogfight nature of the NL East — getting by tough foes Atlanta and Philadelphia — colors the projections for the Mets. The team’s run scoring profile pegs the club’s 101 wins as being a couple extra, and some pitching induced back slide seems likely.
PASS on the Mets’ World Series wager.
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New York Mets playoff odds
Will they make the playoffs: Yes -500 | No +350
Peg the Mets’ chances as living in between these prices. There is upside and talent with this group, but how will New York weather injuries and handle being the big-budget bully in the game?
PASS.
New York Mets win total
Over/Under: 92.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)
A Diaz injury (torn patellar tendon) will have the would-be closer likely missing the entire season. Bank on the Mets looking to add pitching — in the back of the bullpen and elsewhere — in an in-season trade. But there are enough question marks that warrant an UNDER 92.5 (-125) play on this club.
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To win NL East Division
- Atlanta Braves +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- New York Mets +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
- Philadelphia Phillies +300 (bet $100 to win $300)
- Miami Marlins +5000 (bet $100 to win $5,000)
- Washington Nationals +20000 (bet $100 to win $20,000)
In this category, recent dollars are going to Atlanta and Philadelphia, and those seem like better values. New York’s implied probability of winning the NL East is 41.67% or 7/5 fractional odds. PASS.
To win National League
Odds: +350 (bet $100 to win $350)
STEER CLEAR. Getting a tag north of +375 would make things interesting. But this is a club that may spend too much time trying to cull together the right pieces. The wins could fall short even if the team is quite talented by the end.
Even if the talent and health peaks at the right time, New York still may just be a 25% probability on getting to the Series. That’s an if not worth the current 22.22% asking price.
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