Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Golden State Warriors (36-36) and Houston Rockets (18-53) meet Monday at Toyota Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Warriors vs. Rockets odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Warriors failed to cover the spread as 2-point favorites Saturday in a 133-119 loss at the Memphis Grizzlies. Golden State allowed a 4th-quarter 21-3 run as it picked up its 11th straight road loss.

The Rockets failed to cover as 6-point home underdogs Sunday in a 117-107 loss vs. the New Orleans Pelicans. G Jalen Green scored a game-high 40 points as Houston’s 3-game win streak ended.

The Warriors are 3-0 straight up and 2-1 against the spread vs. the Rockets this season, with the Under hitting in 2 of the 3 meetings. Golden State covered as an 8.5-point home favorite 116-101 as the Under (230.5) cashed in the most recent meeting Feb. 24.

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Warriors at Rockets odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:17 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Warriors -600 (bet $600 to win $100) | Rockets +450 (bet $100 to win $450)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Warriors -11.5 (-108) | Rockets +11.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 237.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Warriors at Rockets key injuries

Warriors

  • Andre Iguodala (wrist) out
  • Kevon Looney (back) questionable
  • Andrew Wiggins (personal reasons) out

Rockets

  • Not yet submitted

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Warriors at Rockets picks and predictions

Prediction

Warriors 125, Rockets 106

Moneyline

PASS.

Golden State (-600) should be able to get its 10th straight head-to-head win vs. the Rockets, but there is no need to pay such a high price on the moneyline when the Warriors should win by margin. Bet the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

BET WARRIORS -11.5 (-108).

The Warriors have beaten the Rockets by 15 or more points in the last 2 meetings and should be extra motivated to run up the score after getting embarrassed at the Grizzlies last time out. Golden State is not a good road team, but has had success vs. Houston in recent years and is 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

The Rockets were overperforming against expectation during their 3-game win streak, but now appear to be regressing toward the mean after losing to the Pelicans last time out. This young Houston team should struggle to score vs. a motivated Warriors squad on an 11-game road losing streak.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 237.5 (-110).

The Under is 4-0 in Houston’s last 4 games and 4-1 in Golden State’s last 5 vs. teams with a losing record. These teams tend to play low-scoring games vs. each other in Houston, with the Under going 13-6-1 in the last 20 meetings, and Monday’s matchup should stay Under the total as Golden State bounces back defensively after allowing 133 points last time out.

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