Dallas Mavericks at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Dallas Mavericks at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (34-33) battle the Memphis Grizzlies (39-26) Saturday. Tip from FedEx Forum is set for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Mavericks vs. Grizzlies odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Mavericks beat the Grizzlies at home 137-96 Oct. 22, covering as a 5.5-point favorite. The Over 219.5 hit in the lone matchup between these teams so far this season.

Dallas has not been great for bettors lately, having covered just 2 of its last 10 games. The Mavs have won just 3 of those 10 outright as well. They are 24-41-2 against the spread (ATS) this season.

The Grizzlies, on the other hand, are 31-33-1 ATS. They are coming off a 131-110 win versus Golden State, covering as a 2.5-point underdog. Memphis is 5-2 ATS over its last 7 and 4-3 straight up in that span.

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Mavericks at Grizzlies odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mavericks +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Grizzlies -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +5.5 (-110) | Grizzlies -5.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 223.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mavericks at Grizzlies key injuries

Mavericks

  • G Luka Doncic (thigh) out
  • G Kyrie Irving (foot) questionable

Grizzlies

  • C Steven Adams (knee) out
  • G Ja Morant (personal) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Mavericks at Grizzlies picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 116, Mavericks 107

Moneyline

AVOID.

Dallas is just 12-20 on the road this season. Without Doncic, these odds are justified, and the underdog isn’t worth a play at all. Memphis is too pricey to play here as well.

Against the spread

BET GRIZZLIES -5.5 (-110).

The Grizzlies have played well without Morant, covering 2 of the 3 games he’s missed. They put a 21-point beatdown on the Warriors at home in their lone home game without Morant.

Players like G Desmond Bane and F Dillon Brooks can and have stepped up. Dallas, on the other hand, has failed to cover 3 in a row and is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 and 1-5 ATS in its last 6.

Memphis also ranks No. 1 in opponents’ field goal percentage (44.9%), so that defensive tenacity mixed with the absence of Doncic should result in a Grizzlies cover.

Back GRIZZLIES -5.5 (-110).

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 223.5 (-110).

Memphis allows the 6th-fewest points per game (112), and the Mavericks play at one of the slowest paces in the NBA. The Grizzlies are 2-6-1 O/U in their last 9 games.

Dallas is 4-3-1 O/U in its last 8. The Mavericks play at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA, and the Grizzlies’ style should adjust without Morant to be slower as well.

Considering it all, back the UNDER 223.5 (-110).

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