Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Lakers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Lakers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Golden State Warriors (34-30) and Los Angeles Lakers (30-34) meet Sunday at Crypto.com Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Warriors vs. Lakers odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Warriors covered the spread as 5-point home favorites Friday with a 108-99 win vs. the New Orleans Pelicans. G Klay Thompson scored 27 points as Golden State won its 5th straight game. The Warriors are 0-4-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 5 road games.

Stephen Curry (leg) is probable to return Sunday after missing the last 11 games.

The Lakers failed to cover as 1.5-point home underdogs Friday in a 110-102 loss vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves. C Anthony Davis finished with a game-high 38 points for the Lakers, who lost for just the 2nd time in their last 6 games. Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 home games vs. teams with a road winning percentage below .400.

The Lakers lead the season series 2-1 and the Over has gone 1-2. Los Angeles covered as a 6-point home favorite with a 124-111 win as the Under (239) cashed in the most recent meeting Feb. 23.

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Warriors at Lakers odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Warriors -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Lakers +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Warriors -5.5 (-102) | Lakers +5.5 (-118)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 235.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Warriors at Lakers key injuries

Warriors

  • Stephen Curry (leg) probable
  • Andre Iguodala (hip) probable
  • Andrew Wiggins (personal reasons) out

Lakers

  • Anthony Davis (foot) probable
  • LeBron James (foot) out
  • D’Angelo Russell (ankle) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Warriors at Lakers picks and predictions

Prediction

Warriors 115, Lakers 114

Moneyline

PASS.

The Warriors (-200) should win, but their moneyline is a little inflated since Curry is returning to the lineup. Bet the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

BET LAKERS +5.5 (-118).

Golden State has looked great going 5-0 on its most recent homestand but now must reinsert Curry into the offense. The last time Curry returned from injury after missing 11 games, the Warriors lost straight up as 12.5-point home favorites 125-113 vs. a shorthanded Phoenix Suns team Jan. 10. To make matters worse for the Warriors, Golden State has lost 5 straight road games and is a league-worst 8-21 ATS on the road.

Los Angeles is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games after a loss and should be able to at least keep it close vs. a Warriors team that struggles away from Chase Center.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 235.5 (-112).

The Under is 6-0 in Golden State’s last 6 games and 4-1-1 in Los Angeles’ last 6. The Under has hit in the last 2 meetings between these teams and is 4-0 in the Lakers’ last 4 home games. Los Angeles allows the 3rd-lowest 3-point percentage this season at 34.5% and should be able to limit Golden State offensively as the Under hits Sunday.

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