In a heavyweight championship bout in the main event, Jon Jones takes on Ciryl Gane Saturday at UFC 285 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The early prelims are on ESPN+ at 5:30 p.m. ET, with the prelims on ESPNews/ESPN+ starting at 8 p.m. ET. The main card begins on Pay-Per-View at 10 p.m. ET.
Jones, a.k.a. “Bones”, returns to the octagon for the first time in 3 years due to some issues off the canvas. Jones won a title fight at UFC 247 against Dominick Reyes in his most recent match on Feb. 8, 2020. Bones has won and defended all 15 title fights he’s had — with the exception of one no-contest — since topping Mauricio Rua at UFC 128 on March 19, 2011.
It’s been a heckuva run, and a win against Gane to grab the strap would cement his legacy if he hasn’t already done so.
The Frenchman Gane rebounded from a unanimous-decision loss at UFC 270 against Francis Ngannou in Jan. 2020 with a 3rd-round KO/TKO of Tai Tuivasa last time out in the main event of a Fight Night card in early Sept. 2022.
Jones holds a 3.5-inch reach advantage, while Gane has a 5.11-to-4.30 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. Both are very accurate strikers, while Jones holds the advantage in the ground game. However, Jones hasn’t had a submission win since getting Vitor Belfort to tap at UFC 152 in Sept. 2012, so don’t look for submission as a method of victory.
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UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:11 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Jones -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Gane +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
- Over/Under: 4.5 rounds (Over -155 | Under +122)
- Will the fight go the distance? Yes (-145) | No (+105)
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UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane picks and predictions
Records: Jones (26-1-0) | Gane (11-1-0)
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
JONES (-175) has been away from the octagon for a while, but you can expect Bones to come right back and get it going early against Gane.
The former champ has gone the distance in 7 of the past 9 fights, and after such a long layoff, it’s likely we see this one need the judges. As a result, METHOD OF VICTORY: JONES BY POINTS (+175) is a strong play at plus money.
Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 4.5 ROUNDS (-155) is a little on the expensive side, but it’s a strong play. YES (-145): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE is also a solid value.
As mentioned above, Jones has gone the distance in 7 of his past 9 fights dating back to Sept. 2013. Gane has a pair of KO/TKO wins across the past 5 bouts, but the other 3 also went the distance, including his loss to Ngannou. This one should go well into the night, and the Pay-Per-View buyers will get their money’s worth.
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