The Nevada Wolf Pack (21-7, 11-4 Mountain West) will try to remain on track against the Fresno State Bulldogs (10-17, 6-10) in Fresno on Friday at 11 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Nevada vs. Fresno State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
After winning the 1st meeting 77-66 as 9-point favorites On Feb. 10, Nevada will go for a season sweep.
Nevada comes in on a 3-game winning streak after defeating San Jose State 66-51 as 9.5-point favorites on Tuesday. it will look to continue its streak on Friday while sending the Bulldogs to a 4th straight loss.
Since losing to Nevada, Fresno State has lost 45-43 loss to San Diego State and 60-57 loss to Colorado State as a 2-point favorite on Saturday.
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Nevada at Fresno State odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Nevada -170 (bet $170 to win $100) | Fresno State +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
- Against the spread (ATS): Nevada -3.5 (-105) | Fresno State +3.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 129.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Nevada at Fresno State picks and predictions
Prediction
Nevada 71, Fresno State 63
Moneyline
PASS.
Nevada, at 21-7 is looking to remain in contention in the Mountain West and has all the motivation in this game, and I am not going to bet against them. Especially for an outright loss at -170.
Against the spread
NEVADA -3.5 (-105).
The Wolf Pack won the 1st meeting that started the 3-game losing streak for Fresno State, who have struggled in recent games at home. Theys are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games against teams with losing road records.
Nevada is 21-6-2 ATS in its last 29 Friday games and are 4-1 in its last 5 games against a team with a win percentage under .400.
Simply, 3.5 points is not enough for the Bulldogs in this matchup, and I will take the -105 value on the Wolf Pack to cover.
Over/Under
OVER 129.5 (-110).
At 61.7 points, the Fresno State offense ranks 351st in the nation while Nevada ranks 146th at 73.2 points.
On defense, Fresno State has only been allowing 64.6 points but allowed 77 to Nevada just 2 weeks ago. Nevada will be able to get some points and get to 70 in this game. With the total being so low at 129.5, this game will get to the Over.
Nevada has feasted on weaker teams. It is 13-3 to the Over in games against teams with a losing record. When you extend this a bit further, the Wolf Pack are 19-7 to the Over in their last 26 games against teams with a win percentage under .400.
For Fresno State, the Bulldogs are 9-3 to the Over in their last 12 Friday games and are 4-1 to the Over in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record.
This game sets up to go Over. Even if only slightly. If this number climbs above 131, I will stay away.
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