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The Kansas City Chiefs (16-3) and Philadelphia Eagles (16-3) will throw down in the 2023 Super Bowl at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Ariz. Sunday’s kickoff is set for 6:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Chiefs vs. Eagles odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
This Super Bowl matchup features 2 of the league’s top 3 offenses in total points and yards — the Chiefs finished the regular season 1st in both categories while the Eagles finished 3rd in both.
The Chiefs had a bit more difficult of a postseason path to the big game than the Eagles, though both squads enjoyed a bye week during Wild Card Weekend. The Chiefs defeated their nemesis Cincinnati Bengals in the AFC Championship Game 23-20, covering the spread as 2-point home favorites. In the Divisional Round, the Chiefs defeated the Jacksonville Jaguars 27-20, failing to cover as 10-point home favorites.
The Eagles had no problem getting through their playoff opponents. They beat the San Francisco 49ers 31-7 in the NFC Championship Game, easily covering as 2.5-point home favorites. In the Divisional Round, Philly beat the New York Giants 38-7, covering as an 8-point home favorite.
Overall, the Eagles are 10-9 against the spread (ATS) this season while the Chiefs are just 6-12-1 ATS. The Over in total points has cashed in 10 out of Philly’s 19 matchups while cashing just 8 out of 19 in Kansas City’s contests.
The last time these teams faced off was October 2021. The Chiefs won 42-30 and covered as 7.5-point road favorites.
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Chiefs vs. Eagles odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 12:07 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Chiefs +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Eagles -116 (bet $116 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Chiefs +1 (-110) | Eagles -1 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 51 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Chiefs vs. Eagles key injuries
Chiefs
- None
Eagles
- WR/KR Britain Covey (hamstring) questionable
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Chiefs vs. Eagles picks and predictions
Prediction
Chiefs 30, Eagles 27
Moneyline
The Eagles offense vs. the Chiefs defense should be an interesting battle. Eagles QB Jalen Hurts is tremendous on his legs, and the Chiefs have allowed the 3rd-most rushing yards to QBs this year (including postseason) at 500. Hurts should rack up yards on the Chiefs defense, but can he keep up with Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes while still battling a shoulder injury?
Much has been talked about the Eagles’ top-tier defense, which is certainly good but hasn’t faced much quality QB competition in 2022. One of the better QBs the team faced was Cowboys QB Dak Prescott, who threw for 347 yards and 3 TDs against Philly in Week 16.
The Eagles defense will still be a strong challenge for the Chiefs, but Kansas City has shown to be a resilient squad despite Mahomes playing through a high-ankle sprain. Mahomes dropped 326 yards on the Bengals in the AFC Championship Game with the hurt ankle and now has had 2 weeks of rest for the Super Bowl. He should be at the top of his game for this matchup, and should be able to fight his way to a 2nd ring.
BET CHIEFS (+100).
Against the spread
There’s no reason to buy the extra point on the Chiefs +1 (-110) — even before when it was +1.5.
PASS.
Over/Under
Many will expect this to be a high-scorer since these are top-3 offenses, but both teams have been playing quality defense as well. In their last 5 games, the Chiefs defense has allowed 17.4 PPG, while the Eagles have allowed 18 PPG. It’s doubtful that either of these teams will reach the mid-to-high 30s in points.
However, it’s also hard to see this game falling under 50.5 total points with both offenses averaging over 28 points per game. Remember, these offenses feature the 2022 NFL MVP (Mahomes) and the MVP runner-up (Hurts). Expect this game to reach around the 54-57 point range.
LEAN OVER 51 (-110).
More 2023 Super Bowl coverage
- Parlay: Let’s make some money
- Player props: Patrick Mahomes | Jalen Hurts
- Cheat sheet: Picks and predictions galore
If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access more content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.
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