2023 Farmers Insurance Open odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 Farmers Insurance Open, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

The West Coast swing of the 2023 PGA Tour season continues this week at the magnificent Torrey Pines for the 2023 Farmers Insurance Open. Competitors will play both the North and South Courses this week, with the 1st round beginning on Wednesday and the action concluding on Saturday afternoon.

Below, we look at the 2023 Farmers Insurance Open odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Jon Rahm will look to make it 3 wins in a row when he tees it up at Torrey this week, having won his last 2 starts at the Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. He’s currently the top-ranked golfer in the latest Golfweek/Sagarin rankings, with Rory McIlroy at No. 2; McIlroy is not playing the Farmers Insurance Open, however. Third-ranked Xander Schauffele and 6th-ranked Will Zalatoris are in the field.

Players will each play the South and North Courses in the 1st 2 rounds, with the final 2 rounds being played on the South Course. Both are a par 72, but the South Course is considerably longer at 7,765 yards compared to 7,258 yards for the North Course.

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Farmers Insurance Open – Expert picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 12:31 p.m. ET.

Tony Finau (+1200)

Finau is bound to break through at Torrey Pines at some point and there’s no better time than now. He’s finished in the top 25 in 7 of his 8 starts here with 4 top 10s, including a T-2 in 2021. Don’t get caught up on the fact that he missed the cut last year.

Will Zalatoris (+2000)

Zalatoris is showing no ill effects from his back injury, notching a T-11 at the Tournament of Champions and a T-36 last week. He finished 2nd here last year and tied for 7th in 2021, so he’s a good fit at Torrey with his length and ball striking. So far this season, he’s hitting 80% of the greens, which ranks 2nd on tour.

Jon Rahm (+400)

An outright winner at +400? It seems crazy, but not as crazy as the combination of Rahm’s current form and his course history. He’s going for his 3rd straight win this season and now tees it up at an event that he’s won before and has 4 other top-10 finishes. His worst finish in this tournament is T-29, which was in 2018 after he won in 2017. Rahm is +100 to finish in the top 5, which might be a better bet, but it’s hard not to like him to win again.

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Farmers Insurance Open picks – Contenders

J.J. Spaun (+5000)

Since November, Spaun hasn’t finished worse than 15th, including a T-12 in his last start at the Sony Open. He tied for 9th here in 2017 and has made the cut 4 times in 6 trips, but he’s never played as well as he is right now coming into the event. He’s a perfect mid-tier target this week at Torrey.

Sahith Theegala (+4000)

Theegala made his Farmers Insurance Open debut last year and finished T-25, which put him on the map a bit at a big event. He has 3 top-10s in 8 starts so far this season and most recently tied for 54th at The American Express. Though he’s not in the absolute best form he could be, he’s a good value at +4000.

Farmers Insurance Open picks – Long shots

Hayden Buckley (+8000)

Buckley nearly claimed his 1st PGA Tour victory at the Sony Open when he finished alone in 2nd, which also extended his made-cut streak to 6 in a row. He missed the cut here in his debut last year but at +8000, he’s a solid long-shot pick as she searches for his 1st win.

Ryan Palmer (+10000)

Palmer tied for 32nd at the Sony Open, which was his only start of the calendar year. But we’re buying him at this price for his tournament history. In 5 starts since 2018, he has 5 top-25 finishes, including 2 runner-ups and another tie for 13th. He just seems to show up when the tour gets to Torrey.

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