The Toledo Rockets (12-6, 3-2 MAC) battle the Buffalo Bulls (9-9, 3-2) Friday. Tip from Alumni Arena is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (CBSSN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Toledo vs. Buffalo odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
Toledo beat Ohio 90-75 Tuesday, covering as a 9-point home favorite. The Rockets are 9-7 against the spread (ATS) this season and 3-3 straight up on the road. They are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games. The Rockets’ strength is offense, ranking 7th in the nation in points per game (84.8).
Buffalo beat Bowling Green 100-71 at home Tuesday, easily covering as a 6.5-point favorite. It is 8-1 straight up at home and 9-6-1 ATS on the season. The Buffs are 3-0 ATS over their last 3 home games. Their strength is also offense, ranking 30th in the nation in points per game (79.9).
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Toledo at Buffalo odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:38 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Toledo -230 (bet $230 to win $100) | Buffalo +175 (bet $100 to win $175)
- Against the spread (ATS): Toledo -5.5 (-105) | Buffalo +5.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 167.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Toledo at Buffalo picks and predictions
Prediction
Buffalo 86, Toledo 83
Moneyline
SPRINKLE BUFFALO (+170).
Buffalo has been surging at home lately, and it has been strong at Alumni Arena all season. It is 8-1 at home while Toledo is 3-3 on the road. For the riskier crowd, take a chance on BUFFALO (+170), but I would preferrable take the points on the spread.
Against the spread
BET BUFFALO +5.5 (-115).
Buffalo is a MAC-best 6-1 ATS as the home team. On a similar note, Toledo is 3-3 both ATS and straight up on the road.
In conference games, both teams are 3-2 ATS. That said, Buffalo has been a home underdog 4 times, and are 3-1 straight up and ATS in those games.
The Bulls scored 100 points in their last battle and have topped 78 in 4 straight games. Their offense is clicking, and at home, backing BUFFALO +5.5 (-115) is a strong play.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 167.5 (-115).
Both teams are 3-2 O/U in conference play. Each has a high-tempo offense and a lacking defense, but at this lofty total, a partial-unit play is all that’s justified. Back the OVER 167.6 (-115) nonetheless.
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