The Denver Pioneers (8-1) visit Sacramento State Hornets (3-5) for a Wednesday night non-conference affair. Tip time at The Nest is slated for 10 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Denver Sacramento State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
Denver is looking to avenge its lone loss. The 1.5-point-underdog Hornets defeated the Pioneers 73-69 on Nov. 14. Sacramento State hit five 3-pointers to Denver’s 2 in a statistically-close game across the board. The Pioneers have won 6 straight games since; half of those were decided by 3 points or less.
The Hornets have lost 4 consecutive games. The most recent of those was Saturday at Santa Clara when Sacramento State (+11.5) covered in a 72-65 setback. The Hornets shot just 40.6% from the floor in that game. A CSUS squad shooting just 43.2% for the season had its highwater mark of 51.9% against Denver on Nov. 14.
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Denver at Sacramento State odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:41 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Denver +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Sacramento State -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Denver +5.5 (-115) | Sacramento State -5.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 134.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Denver at Sacramento State picks and predictions
Prediction
Sacramento State 69, Denver 65
Moneyline
PASS. Nothing to see here, move along.
Against the spread
The Pioneers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games. They are a good match-up for this Sacramento State squad. The Hornets play at a very slow tempo, but they are a bit loose with the ball. Look for faster-than-average Denver to crank out some points off Sacramento miscues and also do a fair job against a good offensive-rebounding CSUS team.
The Hornets have been struggling defensively of late. Over their last 4 games, they have allowed a 50% mark from the field and a 37.7% mark from from 3-point range. Sacramento also yields a lot of mid-range looks, and the Pioneers have been dialed in from that distance.
BACK DENVER +5.5 (-115).
Over/Under
The Under is 5-0 in the Hornets’ last 5 home games against teams with a winning percentage of greater-than-.600. And when these teams met 3 weeks ago, the total was 131.5.
The Pioneers are the likable side but are do some shooting regression. TAKE THE UNDER 134.5 (-110).
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