France and Poland meet Sunday in the Round of 16 at Al Thumama Stadium. Kickoff is set for 10 a.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the France vs. Poland odds, and make our best World Cup bets, picks and predictions.
France won Group D with just 6 points after losing as a -260 favorite 1-0 vs. Tunisia Wednesday. The reigning champions sent out a squad made up of mostly back-up players as their 6-match win streak at the World Cup came to an end.
Paris Saint-Germain F Kylian Mbappé leads Les Bleus with 3 goals and is favored to finish as France’s top goal scorer at -699. AC Milan F Olivier Giroud (2 goals) has the 2nd-best odds at +500.
Poland played runner-up to Argentina in Group C finishing with 4 points after a 2-0 loss to La Albiceleste Wednesday. Juventus G Wojciech Szczesny saved a F Lionel Messi penalty in the 1st half, but eventually conceded 2 goals as Argentina outshot Poland 23-4 with 12 on target vs. Poland’s 0.
Barcelona F Robert Lewandowski (-300) and Napoli M Piotr Zieliński (+220) have the best odds to finish as Poland’s top goal scorer and have both scored 1 goal each.
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France vs. Poland odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 8:11 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: France -320 (bet $320 to win $100) | Poland +950 (bet $100 to win $950) | Draw +440
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Prediction
France 3, Poland 1
Moneyline (ML)
France (-320) is a top-4 team in the world and should have no problem winning in regulation vs. Poland. However, risking over 3 times your potential profit is a little unnecessary when France should win by multiple goals. I expect France to bounce back after a disappointing result vs. Tunisia and make a statement against an outmatched Poland squad.
BET FRANCE -1 (-109).
Over/Under (O/U)
Both teams’ offenses looked miserable in their most recent matches. France couldn’t score vs. Tunisia and Poland couldn’t even get a shot on target vs. Argentina. I expect both of these squads to be much more aggressive Sunday with some of the best strikers in the world on the pitch in Lewandowski, Mbappé and Giroud.
BET OVER 2.5 (-115).
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