MAC Championship: Toledo vs. Ohio odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Toledo vs. Ohio odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toledo Rockets (7-5, 5-3 MAC) meet the Ohio Bobcats (9-3, 7-1) Saturday at Ford Field for the MAC Championship. Kickoff is scheduled for noon ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Toledo vs. Ohio odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Rockets dropped their final 2 games of the regular season as they looked a little disinterested after clinching the West Division. Toledo lost 42-35 in a mid-week game against Bowling Green on Nov. 15, and it suffered an inexplicable 20-14 loss at Western Michigan in the finale on Nov. 25.

The Bobcats rolled up a 38-14 win against Bowling Green in the regular-season finale, emphatically claiming the East Division. Ohio has won 7 straight games while cashing against the spread in each of the previous 8 outings anad scored 32 or more points in each of the final 4 games, and 6 of the past 7.

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Toledo vs. Ohio odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 1:15 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Toledo -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Ohio +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
  • Against the spread: Toledo -3 (-107) | Ohio +3 (-113)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 54 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Toledo vs. Ohio picks and predictions

Prediction

Ohio 31, Toledo 27

Moneyline

OHIO (+130) enters with much better momentum, firing off 7 straight wins, while Toledo dropped its final 2 games of the regular season.

Perhaps the books are bearish on the Bobcats because 0-4 record all-time in the MAC Championship Game. Toledo won the title in 2017 in its most recent appearance and is 2-2 in its past 4 title game showings.

Against the spread

OHIO +3 (-113) is the play, as it has cashed an ATS ticket in 8 consecutive games overall while going 16-5 ATS in the past 21 inside the conference and 22-8 ATS in the past 30 games against teams with a winning record. The Bobcats are also 8-3 ATS in the past 11 neutral-site games.

The Rockets not only dropped the final two games outright, but they’re 0-5 ATS in the past 5 games overall, 0-5 ATS in the past 5 against winning teams and 0-5 ATS in the past 5 in a neutral site.

Over/Under

OVER 54 (-112) is the lean, and it might be the best play on the board.

While the Under has been the dominant trend for Toledo lately, the Over is 2-1-1 in the past 4 games for Ohio. The offense has rolled up 32 or more points in each of the past 4 games for the Bobcats and the defense has allowed 19.3 PPG during the span.

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