Straight-up NFL picks, Week 12: Talking ourselves off the Jaguars and fading primetime Kirk Cousins

Whose chaos will reign supreme: the Bears’ or the Jets’? And are we really trusting Kirk Cousins in primetime on Thanksgiving?

Last week, I placed my faith in the Texans at home against a Washington Commanders team I felt was ripe for a letdown game. Instead, Houston trailed for more than 58 minutes and Taylor Heinicke improved to 4-1 as a starter this fall without having to do much of anything.

The good news is this kept Houston in line to replace Davis Mills with a quarterback taken with the top selection in next spring’s NFL Draft. The bad news is it tanked my picks. Week 12 will bring a deluge of Thursday football thanks to Thanksgiving. It also brings a slate of uninteresting games after the holiday, with the exception of Bengals-Titans.

What once looked like playoff previews between the Rams and Chiefs or Packers and Eagles instead look like looming blowouts. As a result, our three-man panel made a bunch of mostly homogenous picks; we’re unanimous on all but two of Week 12’s 16-game lineup.

Here’s this week’s straight-up picks.

Game Christian Robert Charles
Bills at Lions Bills Bills Bills
Giants at Cowboys Cowboys Cowboys Cowboys
Patriots at Vikings Patriots Patriots Patriots
Falcons at Commanders Commanders Commanders Commanders
Bears at Jets Jets Jets Bears
Bengals at Titans Titans Bengals Titans
Broncos at Panthers Broncos Panthers Broncos
Texans at Dolphins Dolphins Dolphins Dolphins
Ravens at Jaguars Ravens Ravens Ravens
Buccaneers at Browns Bucs Bucs Bucs
Raiders at Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks
Chargers at Cardinals Chargers Chargers Chargers
Saints at 49ers 49ers 49ers 49ers
Rams at Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs
Packers at Eagles Eagles Eagles Eagles
Steelers at Colts Colts Colts Colts
Last week: 8-6 10-4 9-5
Year to date: 101-62-1 99-64-1 89-74-1

And here are those selections in a better-formatted screenshot of our actual picks sheet, which unfortunately struggles to translate to our editing software.