The NASCAR Cup Series is at Phoenix Raceway Sunday for the 2022 NASCAR Cup Series Championship. Green flag is scheduled to drop shortly after 3 p.m. ET (NBC). Below we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the 2022 NASCAR Cup Series Championship odds, and make our NASCAR picks and predictions.
2022 NASCAR Cup Series Championship: What you need to know
- The Championship 4 is set, with Joe Gibbs Racing’s Christopher Bell, TrackHouse Racing’s Ross Chastain, Hendrick Motorsports’ Chase Elliott and Penske Racing’s Joey Logano vying for the title
- Stewart-Haas Racing’s Chase Briscoe posted a victory in the Ruoff Mortgage 500 on March 13 in Phoenix in the 1st stop of the season
- As for the title contenders in that March race: Chastain finished 2nd, Logano 8th, Elliott 11th and Bell 26th
- Chastain topped the charts in the 1st practice session Friday with an average speed of 133.240 mph; Logano took the pole Saturday with a 134.389 lap time
- While Chastain was a runner-up in March in Phoenix, he has the worst Average-Finish Position (AFP) among the Championship 4 drivers at 20.5 in 8 Cup starts
- On the flip side, Logano has 2 career wins in Phoenix with a 13.1 AFP, and Elliott has 1 win in Avondale with a solid 10.7 AFP
- Bell has 5 career Cup runs under his belt at the Arizona track, posting just 2 top-10 finishes, 0 laps led and a middling 17.0 AFP
- SHR’s Kevin Harvick leads all active drivers with 9 wins in 39 career Cup starts at Phoenix, posting a leading 8.7 AFP with 1,663 laps led
- Hendrick’s Alex Bowman has really struggled on the flat track at Phoenix, posting a dismal 23.1 AFP in 14 career Cup starts with 0 top-5 finishes, just one top-10 run and 3 DNFs
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2022 NASCAR Cup Series Championship – Expert picks
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:26 a.m. ET.
JOEY LOGANO (+280) is looking for his 2nd career Cup Series championship after securing the title at Homestead-Miami Speedway in 2018. He has 2 career wins in Phoenix, and is the most experienced of the Championship 4 drivers, with Elliott closely on his tails. I expect it to come down to those 2 drivers for all the marbles.
CHASE ELLIOTT (+230) isn’t as good of a value as Logano, but he is just as strong of a contender for the title. He looks to match Logano with a 2nd Cup championship after bringing home the title to Dawsonville, Ga., with a win in 2020 at this very same track.
2022 NASCAR Cup Series Championship – Contenders
KEVIN HARVICK (+1500) would be a great choice to crash the Championship 4 party and secure the win. He has 9 career victories on the flat track in Avondale, while the rest of the field combined has 12 total wins at the track. Harvick has made 39 career starts at Phoenix Raceway, posting 18 top-5 finishes, 28 top-10 runs and 1,663 laps led with an 8.7 AFP.
2022 NASCAR Cup Series Championship – Long-shot pick
MARTIN TRUEX JR. (+5000) had a horrendous season in 2022, failing to make the playoffs. However, he is worth a look as a long-shot play in Phoenix. He has a win with 6 top-5 finishes and 14 top-10 runs with a 15.6 AFP in 33 career Cup Series starts. A small-unit bet could pay off handsomely if he can take checkers.
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