Chelsea (6 wins, 3 losses, 3 draws) will welcome Arsenal (10-1-1) to Stamford Bridge Sunday. Kickoff is set for 7 a.m. ET. Below, we preview Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Chelsea vs. Arsenal odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.
With Manchester City taking over 1st place by a point with a 2-1 win over Fulham on Saturday, Arsenal will look to get back atop the table. The Reds have been outstanding so far this season and are the lone team with under 2 combined losses and draws.
Five players have 3 or more goals for Arsenal with F Gabriel Jesus and M Martinelli leading the team with 5 each. D Oleksandr Zinchenko is the only notable player for Arsenal ruled out for this match.
Unfortunately for Chelsea, it will be down several key pieces like M N’Golo Kante and D Reece James. Both were instrumental in their top-tier defense a season ago.
Chelsea averages 1.42 goals per game and allows 1.25, but they have had more expected goals against which displays just where they’re at as a club. F Raheem Sterling and F Kai Havertz lead Chelsea, each having scored 3 goals.
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Chelsea vs. Arsenal odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:49 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Chelsea +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Arsenal +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Draw +235
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Prediction
Arsenal 3, Chelsea 1
Moneyline (ML)
BET ARSENAL (+160).
Simply put, Arsenal is the better and healthier side, and that combination, despite being on the road, should be too much for Chelsea.
The Reds lost to Man City on the road, but they have beaten Tottenham and Liverpool this season. They’ve scored 2.5 goals per game and are even 4-1-1 on the road.
Chelsea is unbeaten at home, but they haven’t played a top-tier side with their best performances a 2-2 draw against Tottenham and 1-1 draw against Man U. In 2 of their 5 home matches (West Ham and Leicester City), Chelsea had fewer expected goals.
Couple it all together, and I’d back Arsenal as the more dynamic, talented squad.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET OVER 2.5 (-110).
Chelsea has played 5 home games in the EPL, and in 4 of those, they have gone over this total. In 8 of their games throughout all competitions, they have gone over this total in 6.
With a few key defenders missing, the Arsenal attack, which is averaging 2.5 goals per game should have no problem getting loose. Arsenal has gone over this total in 3 of their last 4 road EPL matches.
Both teams should want this match to be played at a high pace, and I expect at least 3 goals to be scored.
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